Correlation Between MOL PLC and Shell PLC

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both MOL PLC and Shell PLC at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining MOL PLC and Shell PLC into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between MOL PLC ADR and Shell PLC ADR, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on MOL PLC and Shell PLC and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in MOL PLC with a short position of Shell PLC. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of MOL PLC and Shell PLC.

Diversification Opportunities for MOL PLC and Shell PLC

0.61

Correlation Coefficient

MOL PLC  Shell PLC

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between MOL and Shell is 0.61. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding MOL PLC ADR and Shell PLC ADR in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Shell PLC ADR and MOL PLC is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on MOL PLC ADR are associated (or correlated) with Shell PLC. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Shell PLC ADR has no effect on the direction of MOL PLC i.e., MOL PLC and Shell PLC go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between MOL PLC and Shell PLC

Assuming the 90 days horizon MOL PLC ADR is expected to generate 1.65 times more return on investment than Shell PLC. However, MOL PLC is 1.65 times more volatile than Shell PLC ADR. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Shell PLC ADR is currently generating about -0.13 per unit of risk. If you would invest  336.00  in MOL PLC ADR on September 16, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  10.00  from holding MOL PLC ADR or generate 2.98% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

MOL PLC ADR  vs.  Shell PLC ADR

MOL PLC ADR

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days MOL PLC ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors.

Shell PLC ADR

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Shell PLC ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent technical and fundamental indicators, Shell PLC is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.

Pair Trading with MOL PLC and Shell PLC

The main advantage of trading using opposite MOL PLC and Shell PLC positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if MOL PLC position performs unexpectedly, Shell PLC can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Shell PLC will offset losses from the drop in Shell PLC's long position.

The idea behind MOL PLC ADR and Shell PLC ADR pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.