Correlation Between 1st Source and Oak Valley

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both 1st Source and Oak Valley at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining 1st Source and Oak Valley into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between 1st Source and Oak Valley Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on 1st Source and Oak Valley and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in 1st Source with a short position of Oak Valley. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of 1st Source and Oak Valley.

Diversification Opportunities for 1st Source and Oak Valley

0.9
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between 1st and Oak is 0.9. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding 1st Source and Oak Valley Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Oak Valley Bancorp and 1st Source is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on 1st Source are associated (or correlated) with Oak Valley. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Oak Valley Bancorp has no effect on the direction of 1st Source i.e., 1st Source and Oak Valley go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between 1st Source and Oak Valley

Given the investment horizon of 90 days 1st Source is expected to generate 2.49 times less return on investment than Oak Valley. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, 1st Source is 1.03 times less risky than Oak Valley. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Oak Valley Bancorp is currently generating about 0.14 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,589  in Oak Valley Bancorp on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  527.00  from holding Oak Valley Bancorp or generate 20.36% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

1st Source  vs.  Oak Valley Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
1st Source 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in 1st Source are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady fundamental indicators, 1st Source may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
Oak Valley Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Oak Valley Bancorp are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly inconsistent essential indicators, Oak Valley showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

1st Source and Oak Valley Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with 1st Source and Oak Valley

The main advantage of trading using opposite 1st Source and Oak Valley positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if 1st Source position performs unexpectedly, Oak Valley can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Oak Valley will offset losses from the drop in Oak Valley's long position.
The idea behind 1st Source and Oak Valley Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

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