Bohai Leasing (China) Price Prediction

000415 Stock   3.94  0.01  0.25%   
At the present time, the relative strength indicator of Bohai Leasing's share price is approaching 48. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bohai Leasing, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

48

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Bohai Leasing's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bohai Leasing Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Bohai Leasing's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.706
Wall Street Target Price
21.75
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
Using Bohai Leasing hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bohai Leasing Co from the perspective of Bohai Leasing response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bohai Leasing to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bohai because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Bohai Leasing after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 4.01  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Bohai Leasing Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.163.288.07
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Bohai Leasing After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bohai Leasing at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bohai Leasing or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bohai Leasing, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bohai Leasing Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bohai Leasing's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bohai Leasing's historical news coverage. Bohai Leasing's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.20 and 8.80, respectively. We have considered Bohai Leasing's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.94
4.01
After-hype Price
8.80
Upside
Bohai Leasing is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bohai Leasing is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bohai Leasing Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bohai Leasing is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bohai Leasing backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bohai Leasing, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.54 
4.79
  0.07 
  0.17 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.94
4.01
1.78 
3,685  
Notes

Bohai Leasing Hype Timeline

Bohai Leasing is presently traded for 3.94on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.17. Bohai is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.01 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 1.78%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.54%. The volatility of related hype on Bohai Leasing is about 1479.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.11. The company reported the revenue of 33.67 B. Net Income was 1.28 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.37 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Bohai Leasing Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Bohai Leasing Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bohai Leasing's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bohai Leasing's future price movements. Getting to know how Bohai Leasing's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bohai Leasing may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
300871Wuhan Hvsen Biotechnology 0.00 0 per month 3.40  0.12  4.65 (5.17) 27.88 
000609Beijing Mainstreets Investment 0.00 0 per month 3.27  0.09  5.15 (5.02) 10.31 
600715Cultural Investment Holdings(0.22)1 per month 3.54  0.08  5.13 (4.88) 14.20 
688739Liaoning Chengda Biotechnology 0.00 0 per month 2.10  0.09  4.31 (3.61) 20.04 
600864Harbin Hatou Investment 0.00 0 per month 2.89  0.19  9.97 (5.26) 20.02 
603077Sichuan Hebang Biotechnology 0.01 1 per month 2.30  0.12  5.39 (3.41) 18.14 
301206Shandong Sanyuan Biotechnology 0.29 1 per month 2.45  0.11  4.42 (3.76) 21.12 
688376MayAir Technology Co 2.51 1 per month 3.13  0.11  6.91 (5.60) 26.82 

Bohai Leasing Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bohai price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bohai using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bohai charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Bohai Leasing Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Bohai Leasing stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bohai Leasing Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bohai Leasing based on analysis of Bohai Leasing hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bohai Leasing's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bohai Leasing's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Bohai Leasing

The number of cover stories for Bohai Leasing depends on current market conditions and Bohai Leasing's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bohai Leasing is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bohai Leasing's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Bohai Leasing Short Properties

Bohai Leasing's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bohai Leasing's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bohai Leasing Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bohai Leasing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bohai Leasing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments7.3 B

Complementary Tools for Bohai Stock analysis

When running Bohai Leasing's price analysis, check to measure Bohai Leasing's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bohai Leasing is operating at the current time. Most of Bohai Leasing's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bohai Leasing's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bohai Leasing's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bohai Leasing to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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