Renrenle Commercial (China) Price Prediction
| 002336 Stock | 6.65 0.32 5.06% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
71
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.239 | Wall Street Target Price 28.2 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.58) |
Using Renrenle Commercial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Renrenle Commercial Group from the perspective of Renrenle Commercial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Renrenle Commercial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Renrenle because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Renrenle Commercial after-hype prediction price | CNY 7.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Renrenle |
Renrenle Commercial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Renrenle Commercial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Renrenle Commercial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Renrenle Commercial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Renrenle Commercial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Renrenle Commercial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Renrenle Commercial's historical news coverage. Renrenle Commercial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.05 and 11.37, respectively. We have considered Renrenle Commercial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Renrenle Commercial is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Renrenle Commercial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Renrenle Commercial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Renrenle Commercial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Renrenle Commercial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Renrenle Commercial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.32 | 3.66 | 1.06 | 1.24 | 5 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.65 | 7.71 | 15.94 |
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Renrenle Commercial Hype Timeline
Renrenle Commercial is presently traded for 6.65on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.24. Renrenle is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 7.71 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 15.94%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 1.32%. The volatility of related hype on Renrenle Commercial is about 391.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.89. Renrenle Commercial Group has accumulated 2.05 B in total debt. Debt can assist Renrenle Commercial until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Renrenle Commercial's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Renrenle Commercial sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Renrenle to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Renrenle Commercial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Renrenle Commercial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Renrenle Commercial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Renrenle Commercial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Renrenle Commercial's future price movements. Getting to know how Renrenle Commercial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Renrenle Commercial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 600568 | Zhongzhu Medical Holdings | 4.35 | 7 per month | 2.68 | 0.06 | 4.58 | (4.62) | 9.87 | |
| 688626 | Xiangyu Medical Co | 1.38 | 1 per month | 3.72 | 0.13 | 10.15 | (6.25) | 28.78 | |
| 601061 | CITIC Metal Co | 0.80 | 9 per month | 1.92 | 0.05 | 3.63 | (2.78) | 16.37 | |
| 688085 | Shanghai Sanyou Medical | 0.80 | 2 per month | 2.80 | 0.10 | 6.29 | (4.09) | 28.94 | |
| 600055 | Beijing Wandong Medical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.46 | 0.13 | 4.77 | (4.44) | 18.14 | |
| 300638 | Fibocom Wireless | (0.86) | 3 per month | 3.17 | 0.23 | 12.84 | (5.43) | 33.66 | |
| 600459 | Sino Platinum Metals Co | 0.08 | 2 per month | 1.89 | 0.09 | 3.75 | (3.40) | 15.20 |
Renrenle Commercial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Renrenle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Renrenle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Renrenle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Renrenle Commercial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Renrenle Commercial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Renrenle Commercial Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Renrenle Commercial based on analysis of Renrenle Commercial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Renrenle Commercial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Renrenle Commercial's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Renrenle Commercial
The number of cover stories for Renrenle Commercial depends on current market conditions and Renrenle Commercial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Renrenle Commercial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Renrenle Commercial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Renrenle Commercial Short Properties
Renrenle Commercial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Renrenle Commercial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Renrenle Commercial Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Renrenle Commercial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Renrenle Commercial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 440 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 414.2 M |
Complementary Tools for Renrenle Stock analysis
When running Renrenle Commercial's price analysis, check to measure Renrenle Commercial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Renrenle Commercial is operating at the current time. Most of Renrenle Commercial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Renrenle Commercial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Renrenle Commercial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Renrenle Commercial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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