Shandong Polymer (China) Price Prediction

002476 Stock   4.92  0.07  1.44%   
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Shandong Polymer's share price is at 52. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Shandong Polymer, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

52

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Shandong Polymer's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Shandong Polymer Biochemicals, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Shandong Polymer's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.935
Wall Street Target Price
19.96
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.475
Using Shandong Polymer hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shandong Polymer Biochemicals from the perspective of Shandong Polymer response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Shandong Polymer to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Shandong because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Shandong Polymer after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 4.95  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Shandong Polymer Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.535.859.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.935.258.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.434.745.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shandong Polymer. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shandong Polymer's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shandong Polymer's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shandong Polymer Bio.

Shandong Polymer After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Shandong Polymer at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shandong Polymer or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Shandong Polymer, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Shandong Polymer Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Shandong Polymer's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shandong Polymer's historical news coverage. Shandong Polymer's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.63 and 8.27, respectively. We have considered Shandong Polymer's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.92
4.95
After-hype Price
8.27
Upside
Shandong Polymer is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shandong Polymer Bio is based on 3 months time horizon.

Shandong Polymer Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shandong Polymer is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shandong Polymer backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shandong Polymer, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.66 
3.32
  0.03 
  0.15 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.92
4.95
0.61 
6,640  
Notes

Shandong Polymer Hype Timeline

Shandong Polymer Bio is presently traded for 4.92on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.15. Shandong is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.95 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.61%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.66%. The volatility of related hype on Shandong Polymer is about 1451.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.77. The company reported the revenue of 387.34 M. Net Income was 5.23 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 129.6 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Shandong Polymer Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Shandong Polymer Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Shandong Polymer's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shandong Polymer's future price movements. Getting to know how Shandong Polymer's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shandong Polymer may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
002443Zhejiang Kingland Pipeline 0.01 1 per month 1.84  0.10  3.82 (3.68) 14.84 
688109Hangzhou Pinming Software 0.00 0 per month 3.86  0.03  6.37 (4.99) 26.83 
600756Inspur Software Co(0.56)1 per month 3.06  0.19  8.83 (5.17) 19.98 
300871Wuhan Hvsen Biotechnology 0.00 0 per month 2.90  0.16  5.21 (3.68) 27.88 
300463Maccura Biotechnology Co 0.08 1 per month 2.23  0.07  4.04 (3.48) 22.67 
002688Jinhe Biotechnology Co 0.00 0 per month 1.81  0.13  4.05 (3.17) 11.97 
300942Shenzhen Bioeasy Biotechnology 0.01 1 per month 3.58  0.13  6.45 (5.43) 27.38 
000799Jiugui Liquor Co(1.37)2 per month 2.34  0.19  10.00 (3.67) 19.06 

Shandong Polymer Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Shandong price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shandong using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shandong charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Shandong Polymer Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Shandong Polymer stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Shandong Polymer Biochemicals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Shandong Polymer based on analysis of Shandong Polymer hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Shandong Polymer's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Shandong Polymer's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Shandong Polymer

The number of cover stories for Shandong Polymer depends on current market conditions and Shandong Polymer's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shandong Polymer is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shandong Polymer's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Shandong Polymer Short Properties

Shandong Polymer's future price predictability will typically decrease when Shandong Polymer's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Shandong Polymer Biochemicals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Shandong Polymer's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shandong Polymer's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding608.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments267.1 M

Complementary Tools for Shandong Stock analysis

When running Shandong Polymer's price analysis, check to measure Shandong Polymer's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shandong Polymer is operating at the current time. Most of Shandong Polymer's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shandong Polymer's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shandong Polymer's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shandong Polymer to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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