Gan Yuan (China) Price Prediction
| 002991 Stock | 81.93 3.60 4.60% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
69
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.184 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.23 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.09 | Wall Street Target Price 81.88 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.156 |
Using Gan Yuan hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gan Yuan Foods from the perspective of Gan Yuan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gan Yuan to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gan Yuan after-hype prediction price | CNY 81.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gan |
Gan Yuan After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gan Yuan at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gan Yuan or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gan Yuan, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gan Yuan Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gan Yuan's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gan Yuan's historical news coverage. Gan Yuan's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 78.02 and 84.76, respectively. We have considered Gan Yuan's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gan Yuan is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gan Yuan Foods is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gan Yuan Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gan Yuan is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gan Yuan backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gan Yuan, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.95 | 3.38 | 0.56 | 0.05 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
81.93 | 81.39 | 0.66 |
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Gan Yuan Hype Timeline
Gan Yuan Foods is presently traded for 81.93on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.56, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Gan is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 81.39. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.66%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.95%. The volatility of related hype on Gan Yuan is about 5915.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 81.88. About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Gan Yuan was presently reported as 17.64. The company last dividend was issued on the 13th of September 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Gan Yuan Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Gan Yuan Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gan Yuan's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gan Yuan's future price movements. Getting to know how Gan Yuan's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gan Yuan may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 603636 | Linewell Software Co | 0.08 | 1 per month | 3.80 | 0.14 | 9.77 | (7.69) | 19.87 | |
| 002410 | Glodon Software Co | 0.26 | 1 per month | 3.42 | 0.11 | 9.99 | (6.48) | 19.12 | |
| 601002 | Gem Year Industrial Co | 0.03 | 1 per month | 1.93 | 0.23 | 7.19 | (3.38) | 14.80 | |
| 002295 | Guangdong Jingyi Metal | (0.07) | 1 per month | 2.01 | 0.21 | 4.33 | (2.41) | 18.02 | |
| 603236 | Quectel Wireless Solutions | (0.72) | 1 per month | 2.82 | 0.16 | 9.98 | (5.24) | 19.28 | |
| 301113 | Zhejiang Yayi Metal | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.04 | 0.12 | 5.18 | (3.84) | 27.85 | |
| 601969 | Hainan Mining Co | 0.02 | 2 per month | 2.30 | 0.13 | 6.90 | (3.78) | 20.01 |
Gan Yuan Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Gan Yuan Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gan Yuan stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gan Yuan Foods, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gan Yuan based on analysis of Gan Yuan hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gan Yuan's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gan Yuan's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Gan Yuan
The number of cover stories for Gan Yuan depends on current market conditions and Gan Yuan's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gan Yuan is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gan Yuan's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gan Yuan Short Properties
Gan Yuan's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gan Yuan's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gan Yuan Foods often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gan Yuan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gan Yuan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 93.2 M |
Complementary Tools for Gan Stock analysis
When running Gan Yuan's price analysis, check to measure Gan Yuan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gan Yuan is operating at the current time. Most of Gan Yuan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gan Yuan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gan Yuan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gan Yuan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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