Guangdong Tianhe (China) Price Prediction
| 002999 Stock | 7.40 0.94 14.55% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.79) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) |
Using Guangdong Tianhe hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Guangdong Tianhe Agricultural from the perspective of Guangdong Tianhe response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Guangdong Tianhe to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Guangdong because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Guangdong Tianhe after-hype prediction price | CNY 7.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Guangdong |
Guangdong Tianhe After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Guangdong Tianhe at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Guangdong Tianhe or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Guangdong Tianhe, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Guangdong Tianhe Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Guangdong Tianhe's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Guangdong Tianhe's historical news coverage. Guangdong Tianhe's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.33 and 11.13, respectively. We have considered Guangdong Tianhe's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Guangdong Tianhe is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Guangdong Tianhe Agr is based on 3 months time horizon.
Guangdong Tianhe Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Guangdong Tianhe is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Guangdong Tianhe backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Guangdong Tianhe, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.69 | 3.90 | 0.00 | 1.15 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.40 | 7.23 | 2.30 |
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Guangdong Tianhe Hype Timeline
Guangdong Tianhe Agr is presently traded for 7.40on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -1.15. Guangdong is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 7.23. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -2.3%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.69%. The volatility of related hype on Guangdong Tianhe is about 234.8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.25. About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.87. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Guangdong Tianhe Agr last dividend was issued on the 28th of May 2024. The entity had 1.4:1 split on the 4th of June 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Guangdong Tianhe Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Guangdong Tianhe Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Guangdong Tianhe's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Guangdong Tianhe's future price movements. Getting to know how Guangdong Tianhe's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Guangdong Tianhe may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 601398 | Industrial and Commercial | (0.04) | 2 per month | 1.01 | 0.15 | 2.83 | (1.71) | 8.14 | |
| 600519 | Kweichow Moutai Co | (13.91) | 2 per month | 1.81 | 0.06 | 6.55 | (2.98) | 16.71 | |
| 601288 | Agricultural Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.25 | 0.12 | 2.20 | (1.89) | 7.78 | |
| 600941 | China Mobile Limited | 0.71 | 2 per month | 0.96 | 0.10 | 3.09 | (2.04) | 8.38 | |
| 601939 | China Construction Bank | 0.01 | 2 per month | 1.16 | 0.16 | 3.32 | (1.93) | 8.64 | |
| 601857 | PetroChina Co Ltd | (0.09) | 2 per month | 1.83 | 0.05 | 3.55 | (2.03) | 17.17 | |
| 601988 | Bank of China | 0.02 | 3 per month | 0.97 | 0.12 | 2.67 | (1.98) | 7.70 | |
| 300750 | Contemporary Amperex Technology | (2.90) | 1 per month | 3.05 | 0.14 | 7.94 | (3.41) | 33.42 | |
| 601628 | China Life Insurance | (0.17) | 2 per month | 2.54 | 0.10 | 6.42 | (3.94) | 20.00 | |
| 600036 | China Merchants Bank | (0.24) | 2 per month | 1.76 | 0.16 | 4.65 | (2.56) | 13.83 |
Guangdong Tianhe Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Guangdong price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guangdong using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guangdong charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Guangdong Tianhe Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Guangdong Tianhe stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Guangdong Tianhe Agricultural, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Guangdong Tianhe based on analysis of Guangdong Tianhe hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Guangdong Tianhe's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Guangdong Tianhe's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Guangdong Tianhe
The number of cover stories for Guangdong Tianhe depends on current market conditions and Guangdong Tianhe's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Guangdong Tianhe is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Guangdong Tianhe's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Guangdong Tianhe Short Properties
Guangdong Tianhe's future price predictability will typically decrease when Guangdong Tianhe's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Guangdong Tianhe Agricultural often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Guangdong Tianhe's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guangdong Tianhe's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 347.6 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 88.7 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.12 | |
| Shares Float | 219.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Guangdong Stock analysis
When running Guangdong Tianhe's price analysis, check to measure Guangdong Tianhe's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guangdong Tianhe is operating at the current time. Most of Guangdong Tianhe's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guangdong Tianhe's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guangdong Tianhe's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guangdong Tianhe to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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