SBM Offshore (UK) Price Prediction

0NIS Stock   17.15  0.02  0.12%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of SBM Offshore's the stock price is about 68. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling SBM, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

68

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SBM Offshore's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of SBM Offshore and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from SBM Offshore's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SBM Offshore NV, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting SBM Offshore's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.41)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.018
Using SBM Offshore hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SBM Offshore NV from the perspective of SBM Offshore response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SBM Offshore to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SBM because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

SBM Offshore after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 17.13  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out SBM Offshore Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.5317.1118.70
Details

SBM Offshore After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of SBM Offshore at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SBM Offshore or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SBM Offshore, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SBM Offshore Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting SBM Offshore's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SBM Offshore's historical news coverage. SBM Offshore's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.55 and 18.71, respectively. We have considered SBM Offshore's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
17.15
17.13
After-hype Price
18.71
Upside
SBM Offshore is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SBM Offshore NV is based on 3 months time horizon.

SBM Offshore Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SBM Offshore is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SBM Offshore backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SBM Offshore, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
1.58
 0.00  
  0.02 
1 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.15
17.13
0.00 
1,756  
Notes

SBM Offshore Hype Timeline

SBM Offshore NV is presently traded for 17.15on London IL of UK. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. SBM is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on SBM Offshore is about 202.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.13. About 21.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.85. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. SBM Offshore NV last dividend was issued on the 17th of April 2023. The entity had 59:57 split on the 16th of April 2010. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be very soon.
Check out SBM Offshore Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

SBM Offshore Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SBM Offshore's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SBM Offshore's future price movements. Getting to know how SBM Offshore's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SBM Offshore may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
0RHNAcadeMedia AB(0.40)2 per month 0.00 (0.16) 1.86 (2.14) 7.13 
ZINZinc Media Group 0.00 3 per month 0.00 (0.24) 3.39 (6.45) 14.01 
ATGAuction Technology Group 3.00 2 per month 2.00  0.08  4.14 (3.71) 9.41 
BOWLHollywood Bowl Group(11.50)2 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.13 (1.61) 5.39 
0QZ5Cognizant Technology Solutions 0.87 2 per month 1.19 (0.03) 1.94 (1.86) 9.58 
MDZMediaZest plc 0.00 1 per month 2.44 (0.02) 7.14 (4.11) 25.10 
0LCXTake Two Interactive Software 1.78 1 per month 1.22  0.09  2.13 (1.99) 8.93 
SNTSabien Technology Group 0.00 2 per month 2.07  0.11  6.90 (3.33) 30.54 

SBM Offshore Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SBM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SBM using various technical indicators. When you analyze SBM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About SBM Offshore Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of SBM Offshore stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SBM Offshore NV, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SBM Offshore based on analysis of SBM Offshore hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SBM Offshore's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SBM Offshore's related companies.

Story Coverage note for SBM Offshore

The number of cover stories for SBM Offshore depends on current market conditions and SBM Offshore's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SBM Offshore is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SBM Offshore's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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SBM Offshore Short Properties

SBM Offshore's future price predictability will typically decrease when SBM Offshore's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SBM Offshore NV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SBM Offshore's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SBM Offshore's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding179 M
Dividends Paid279 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate1

Other Information on Investing in SBM Stock

SBM Offshore financial ratios help investors to determine whether SBM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SBM with respect to the benefits of owning SBM Offshore security.