Scandinavian Tobacco (UK) Price Prediction

0RES Stock   95.85  0.24  0.25%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Scandinavian Tobacco's share price is approaching 36. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Scandinavian Tobacco, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

36

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Scandinavian Tobacco's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Scandinavian Tobacco and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Scandinavian Tobacco's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Scandinavian Tobacco Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Scandinavian Tobacco's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.063
Using Scandinavian Tobacco hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Scandinavian Tobacco Group from the perspective of Scandinavian Tobacco response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Scandinavian Tobacco to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Scandinavian because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Scandinavian Tobacco after-hype prediction price

    
  DKK 95.88  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Scandinavian Tobacco Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
94.5895.8597.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
94.8796.1597.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
91.8098.28104.77
Details

Scandinavian Tobacco After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Scandinavian Tobacco at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Scandinavian Tobacco or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Scandinavian Tobacco, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Scandinavian Tobacco Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Scandinavian Tobacco's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Scandinavian Tobacco's historical news coverage. Scandinavian Tobacco's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 94.61 and 97.15, respectively. We have considered Scandinavian Tobacco's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
95.85
95.88
After-hype Price
97.15
Upside
Scandinavian Tobacco is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Scandinavian Tobacco is based on 3 months time horizon.

Scandinavian Tobacco Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Scandinavian Tobacco is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Scandinavian Tobacco backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Scandinavian Tobacco, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
1.27
  0.03 
  5.57 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
95.85
95.88
0.03 
635.00  
Notes

Scandinavian Tobacco Hype Timeline

Scandinavian Tobacco is presently traded for 95.85on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 5.57. Scandinavian is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 95.88 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Scandinavian Tobacco is about 3.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 101.42. The company reported the revenue of 8.86 B. Net Income was 1.48 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.31 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be very soon.
Check out Scandinavian Tobacco Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Scandinavian Tobacco Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Scandinavian Tobacco's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Scandinavian Tobacco's future price movements. Getting to know how Scandinavian Tobacco's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Scandinavian Tobacco may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Scandinavian Tobacco Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Scandinavian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Scandinavian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Scandinavian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Scandinavian Tobacco Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Scandinavian Tobacco stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Scandinavian Tobacco Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Scandinavian Tobacco based on analysis of Scandinavian Tobacco hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Scandinavian Tobacco's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Scandinavian Tobacco's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Scandinavian Tobacco

The number of cover stories for Scandinavian Tobacco depends on current market conditions and Scandinavian Tobacco's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Scandinavian Tobacco is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Scandinavian Tobacco's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Scandinavian Tobacco Short Properties

Scandinavian Tobacco's future price predictability will typically decrease when Scandinavian Tobacco's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Scandinavian Tobacco Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Scandinavian Tobacco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Scandinavian Tobacco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividends Paid692 M
Shares Float54.8 M

Additional Tools for Scandinavian Stock Analysis

When running Scandinavian Tobacco's price analysis, check to measure Scandinavian Tobacco's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Scandinavian Tobacco is operating at the current time. Most of Scandinavian Tobacco's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Scandinavian Tobacco's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Scandinavian Tobacco's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Scandinavian Tobacco to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.