SI TECH (China) Price Prediction
| 300608 Stock | 13.20 0.08 0.61% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.44) |
Using SI TECH hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SI TECH Information Technology from the perspective of SI TECH response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SI TECH to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying 300608 because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
SI TECH after-hype prediction price | CNY 12.69 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
300608 |
SI TECH After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SI TECH at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SI TECH or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SI TECH, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SI TECH Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SI TECH's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SI TECH's historical news coverage. SI TECH's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.96 and 18.42, respectively. We have considered SI TECH's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SI TECH is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SI TECH Information is based on 3 months time horizon.
SI TECH Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SI TECH is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SI TECH backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SI TECH, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.70 | 5.73 | 0.51 | 0.18 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.20 | 12.69 | 3.86 |
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SI TECH Hype Timeline
SI TECH Information is presently traded for 13.20on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.51, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.18. 300608 is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 12.69. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -3.86%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.7%. The volatility of related hype on SI TECH is about 2280.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.38. About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of SI TECH was presently reported as 4.34. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.19. SI TECH Information last dividend was issued on the 23rd of May 2024. The entity had 1.2:1 split on the 18th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out SI TECH Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.SI TECH Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SI TECH's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SI TECH's future price movements. Getting to know how SI TECH's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SI TECH may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 688009 | Railway Signal Communication | 0.03 | 2 per month | 2.16 | 0.13 | 3.86 | (3.43) | 24.74 | |
| 002205 | XinJiang GuoTong Pipeline | 0.21 | 2 per month | 3.03 | 0.21 | 8.22 | (6.90) | 18.75 | |
| 603636 | Linewell Software Co | (0.26) | 1 per month | 3.92 | 0.15 | 9.77 | (7.69) | 19.87 | |
| 000998 | Yuan Longping High tech | (0.33) | 2 per month | 2.07 | 0.10 | 3.90 | (2.73) | 18.65 | |
| 603236 | Quectel Wireless Solutions | 2.15 | 2 per month | 3.36 | 0.15 | 9.98 | (6.04) | 19.28 | |
| 600418 | Anhui Jianghuai Automobile | 1.18 | 1 per month | 2.93 | 0.19 | 9.99 | (5.75) | 18.20 | |
| 688122 | Western Superconducting Tech | (0.26) | 1 per month | 2.59 | 0.10 | 6.08 | (4.10) | 29.34 | |
| 603920 | Olympic Circuit Technology | (0.71) | 1 per month | 4.09 | 0.15 | 7.82 | (7.09) | 19.53 |
SI TECH Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine 300608 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for 300608 using various technical indicators. When you analyze 300608 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About SI TECH Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of SI TECH stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SI TECH Information Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SI TECH based on analysis of SI TECH hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SI TECH's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SI TECH's related companies.
Story Coverage note for SI TECH
The number of cover stories for SI TECH depends on current market conditions and SI TECH's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SI TECH is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SI TECH's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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SI TECH Short Properties
SI TECH's future price predictability will typically decrease when SI TECH's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SI TECH Information Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SI TECH's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SI TECH's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 331.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 692.3 M |
Complementary Tools for 300608 Stock analysis
When running SI TECH's price analysis, check to measure SI TECH's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SI TECH is operating at the current time. Most of SI TECH's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SI TECH's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SI TECH's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SI TECH to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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