Nib Holdings (Germany) Price Prediction
| 3GU Stock | EUR 2.98 0.26 9.56% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Nib Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of nib holdings limited from the perspective of Nib Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nib Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nib because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Nib Holdings after-hype prediction price | EUR 2.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Nib |
Nib Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nib Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nib Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nib Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nib Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nib Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nib Holdings' historical news coverage. Nib Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 5.93, respectively. We have considered Nib Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nib Holdings is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of nib holdings limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nib Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nib Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nib Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nib Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 2.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.98 | 2.98 | 0.00 |
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Nib Holdings Hype Timeline
nib holdings limited is presently traded for 2.98on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Nib is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nib Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.98. About 14.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The book value of Nib Holdings was presently reported as 1.96. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of March 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Nib Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Nib Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nib Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nib Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Nib Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nib Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CMAB | Mapfre SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.07 | 0.02 | 2.02 | (1.98) | 6.75 | |
| Y1F | First American Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.22 | (0.01) | 2.55 | (2.38) | 6.83 | |
| MGC | MGIC Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.52 | (2.61) | 8.72 | |
| DHU | Assured Guaranty | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.65 | 0.08 | 4.84 | (4.62) | 15.30 | |
| RAG | Radian Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.74 | (3.16) | 10.70 | |
| 3GU | nib holdings limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.55 | (3.55) | 23.33 | |
| TPW | Trupanion | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.72 | 0.13 | 5.34 | (4.16) | 14.25 | |
| LNH | Lancashire Holdings Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.43 | (0) | 3.97 | (2.93) | 13.76 | |
| QPA1 | Trisura Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.86 | (2.92) | 8.54 | |
| YGB | EMPLOYERS HLDGS DL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.89 | 0.11 | 2.00 | (1.82) | 11.38 |
Nib Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nib price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nib using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nib charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Nib Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Nib Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as nib holdings limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nib Holdings based on analysis of Nib Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nib Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nib Holdings's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Nib Holdings
The number of cover stories for Nib Holdings depends on current market conditions and Nib Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nib Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nib Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nib Holdings Short Properties
Nib Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Nib Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of nib holdings limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nib Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nib Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 459.1 M |
Complementary Tools for Nib Stock analysis
When running Nib Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Nib Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nib Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Nib Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nib Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nib Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nib Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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