OSK Holdings (Malaysia) Price Prediction
| 5053 Stock | 1.74 0.02 1.14% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
71
Oversold | Overbought |
Using OSK Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OSK Holdings Bhd from the perspective of OSK Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in OSK Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying OSK because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
OSK Holdings after-hype prediction price | MYR 1.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
OSK |
OSK Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of OSK Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OSK Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OSK Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
OSK Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting OSK Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OSK Holdings' historical news coverage. OSK Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.43 and 3.05, respectively. We have considered OSK Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
OSK Holdings is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OSK Holdings Bhd is based on 3 months time horizon.
OSK Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OSK Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OSK Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OSK Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.74 | 1.74 | 0.00 |
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OSK Holdings Hype Timeline
OSK Holdings Bhd is presently traded for 1.74on Kuala Lumpur Exchange of Malaysia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. OSK is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on OSK Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.74. The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.36. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. OSK Holdings Bhd had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 3:2 split on the 27th of November 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out OSK Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.OSK Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to OSK Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OSK Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how OSK Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OSK Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 5053 | OSK Holdings Bhd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.03 | 0.1 | 2.52 | (1.85) | 7.89 | |
| 4057 | Asian Pac Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.56 | (5.26) | 19.09 | |
| 1066 | RHB Bank Bhd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.00 | (0.01) | 1.35 | (1.62) | 5.98 | |
| 5162 | ECS ICT Bhd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.72 | 0.13 | 3.88 | (3.26) | 13.61 | |
| 0129 | Silver Ridge Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.02 | 0.08 | 4.17 | (4.55) | 29.10 | |
| 5168 | Hartalega Holdings Bhd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.18 | 0.17 | 4.14 | (2.89) | 13.51 | |
| 9008 | Omesti Bhd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.51 | 0.06 | 14.29 | (10.53) | 59.87 | |
| 3255 | Heineken Bhd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.13 | 0.05 | 2.50 | (1.50) | 10.35 | |
| 0083 | Notion Vtec Bhd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.97 | 0.05 | 8.11 | (5.22) | 30.28 | |
| 4456 | Dagang Nexchange Bhd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.50 | 0.03 | 2.86 | (2.78) | 14.62 |
OSK Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine OSK price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OSK using various technical indicators. When you analyze OSK charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About OSK Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of OSK Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as OSK Holdings Bhd, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of OSK Holdings based on analysis of OSK Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to OSK Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to OSK Holdings's related companies.
Story Coverage note for OSK Holdings
The number of cover stories for OSK Holdings depends on current market conditions and OSK Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OSK Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OSK Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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OSK Holdings Short Properties
OSK Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when OSK Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of OSK Holdings Bhd often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential OSK Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OSK Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 679.4 M |
Other Information on Investing in OSK Stock
OSK Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether OSK Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in OSK with respect to the benefits of owning OSK Holdings security.