Hainan HNA (China) Price Prediction
| 600515 Stock | 3.91 0.12 3.17% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.80) | Wall Street Target Price 5.45 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.28) |
Using Hainan HNA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hainan HNA Infrastructure from the perspective of Hainan HNA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hainan HNA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hainan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Hainan HNA after-hype prediction price | CNY 3.91 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hainan |
Hainan HNA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hainan HNA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hainan HNA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hainan HNA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hainan HNA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hainan HNA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hainan HNA's historical news coverage. Hainan HNA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.80 and 7.02, respectively. We have considered Hainan HNA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hainan HNA is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hainan HNA Infrastructure is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hainan HNA Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hainan HNA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hainan HNA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hainan HNA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.43 | 3.11 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.91 | 3.91 | 0.00 |
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Hainan HNA Hype Timeline
Hainan HNA Infrastructure is presently traded for 3.91on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.11. Hainan is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.43%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hainan HNA is about 1196.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.02. About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.91. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Hainan HNA Infrastructure last dividend was issued on the 16th of June 2003. The entity had 14:10 split on the 12th of April 2007. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Hainan HNA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Hainan HNA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hainan HNA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hainan HNA's future price movements. Getting to know how Hainan HNA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hainan HNA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 600158 | China Sports Industry | 0.16 | 1 per month | 2.30 | 0.17 | 3.98 | (3.65) | 15.65 | |
| 001300 | Sportsoul Co Ltd | 1.16 | 1 per month | 3.48 | 0.13 | 6.32 | (5.43) | 19.19 | |
| 601921 | Zhejiang Publishing Media | 0.26 | 1 per month | 2.94 | 0.05 | 3.19 | (3.43) | 16.44 | |
| 300651 | Jiangsu Jinling Sports | 0.29 | 1 per month | 3.14 | 0.13 | 5.20 | (4.22) | 26.52 | |
| 601949 | China Publishing Media | (0.50) | 4 per month | 3.59 | 0.15 | 7.37 | (5.84) | 20.05 | |
| 601900 | Southern PublishingMedia Co | 1.16 | 1 per month | 3.24 | 0.09 | 6.43 | (5.43) | 17.72 | |
| 000785 | Easyhome New Retail | 0.29 | 2 per month | 3.27 | 0.20 | 9.92 | (7.68) | 20.09 | |
| 605098 | Shanghai Action Education | (0.74) | 2 per month | 3.05 | 0.06 | 5.64 | (6.19) | 19.77 |
Hainan HNA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hainan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hainan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hainan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Hainan HNA Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Hainan HNA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hainan HNA Infrastructure, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hainan HNA based on analysis of Hainan HNA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hainan HNA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hainan HNA's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Hainan HNA
The number of cover stories for Hainan HNA depends on current market conditions and Hainan HNA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hainan HNA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hainan HNA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hainan HNA Short Properties
Hainan HNA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hainan HNA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hainan HNA Infrastructure often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hainan HNA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hainan HNA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.4 B |
Complementary Tools for Hainan Stock analysis
When running Hainan HNA's price analysis, check to measure Hainan HNA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hainan HNA is operating at the current time. Most of Hainan HNA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hainan HNA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hainan HNA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hainan HNA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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