Jiangsu Broadcasting (China) Price Prediction

600959 Stock   3.58  0.02  0.56%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of Jiangsu Broadcasting's the stock price is about 60. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 1st of December 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Jiangsu, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

60

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Jiangsu Broadcasting's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Jiangsu Broadcasting's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.15)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.001
Using Jiangsu Broadcasting hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable from the perspective of Jiangsu Broadcasting response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Jiangsu Broadcasting to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Jiangsu because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Jiangsu Broadcasting after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 3.53  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Jiangsu Broadcasting Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.402.825.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.063.495.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.433.533.62
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jiangsu Broadcasting. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jiangsu Broadcasting's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jiangsu Broadcasting's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jiangsu Broadcasting.

Jiangsu Broadcasting After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Jiangsu Broadcasting at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jiangsu Broadcasting or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Jiangsu Broadcasting, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Jiangsu Broadcasting Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Jiangsu Broadcasting's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jiangsu Broadcasting's historical news coverage. Jiangsu Broadcasting's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.11 and 5.95, respectively. We have considered Jiangsu Broadcasting's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.58
3.53
After-hype Price
5.95
Upside
Jiangsu Broadcasting is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jiangsu Broadcasting is based on 3 months time horizon.

Jiangsu Broadcasting Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Jiangsu Broadcasting is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jiangsu Broadcasting backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jiangsu Broadcasting, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.44 
2.42
  0.05 
  0.05 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.58
3.53
1.40 
2,200  
Notes

Jiangsu Broadcasting Hype Timeline

Jiangsu Broadcasting is presently traded for 3.58on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Jiangsu is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 3.53. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.4%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.44%. The volatility of related hype on Jiangsu Broadcasting is about 1951.61%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.53. About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.8. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Jiangsu Broadcasting last dividend was issued on the 23rd of August 2024. The entity had 13:10 split on the 7th of July 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Jiangsu Broadcasting Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Jiangsu Broadcasting Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Jiangsu Broadcasting's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jiangsu Broadcasting's future price movements. Getting to know how Jiangsu Broadcasting's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jiangsu Broadcasting may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
605259Lutian Machinery Co 0.00 0 per month 2.16  0.10  3.47 (3.43) 14.98 
001289China Longyuan Power(0.50)2 per month 2.48 (0.02) 4.14 (3.30) 16.59 
601857PetroChina Co Ltd(0.09)1 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.43 (3.33) 17.17 
601988Bank of China(0.33)2 per month 1.48 (0.06) 2.67 (2.86) 7.70 
600236Guangxi Guiguan Electric 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 1.80 (2.50) 13.85 
605198Yantai North Andre 0.00 0 per month 2.56  0.11  5.11 (4.14) 19.98 
600025Huaneng Lancang River(0.27)1 per month 0.00 (0.27) 2.34 (3.79) 10.45 
601998China Citic Bank(0.05)2 per month 2.07 (0.04) 3.02 (3.06) 13.33 
300600Changshu Ruite Electric 0.00 0 per month 2.91  0.10  3.88 (5.09) 20.86 
301177DR Limited 0.00 0 per month 2.39  0.12  6.17 (3.64) 23.31 

Jiangsu Broadcasting Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Jiangsu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jiangsu using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jiangsu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Jiangsu Broadcasting Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Jiangsu Broadcasting stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Jiangsu Broadcasting based on analysis of Jiangsu Broadcasting hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Jiangsu Broadcasting's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Jiangsu Broadcasting's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Jiangsu Broadcasting

The number of cover stories for Jiangsu Broadcasting depends on current market conditions and Jiangsu Broadcasting's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jiangsu Broadcasting is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jiangsu Broadcasting's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Jiangsu Broadcasting Short Properties

Jiangsu Broadcasting's future price predictability will typically decrease when Jiangsu Broadcasting's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Jiangsu Broadcasting's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jiangsu Broadcasting's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB

Complementary Tools for Jiangsu Stock analysis

When running Jiangsu Broadcasting's price analysis, check to measure Jiangsu Broadcasting's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jiangsu Broadcasting is operating at the current time. Most of Jiangsu Broadcasting's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jiangsu Broadcasting's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jiangsu Broadcasting's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jiangsu Broadcasting to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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