Shaanxi Construction (China) Price Prediction

600984 Stock   3.50  0.06  1.69%   
As of 5th of December 2024, The relative strength index (RSI) of Shaanxi Construction's share price is at 53. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Shaanxi Construction, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

53

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Shaanxi Construction's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Shaanxi Construction Machinery, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Shaanxi Construction's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.90)
Wall Street Target Price
2.1
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.23)
Using Shaanxi Construction hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shaanxi Construction Machinery from the perspective of Shaanxi Construction response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Shaanxi Construction to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Shaanxi because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Shaanxi Construction after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 3.57  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Shaanxi Construction Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.142.776.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.687.81
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shaanxi Construction. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shaanxi Construction's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shaanxi Construction's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shaanxi Construction.

Shaanxi Construction After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Shaanxi Construction at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shaanxi Construction or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Shaanxi Construction, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Shaanxi Construction Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Shaanxi Construction's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shaanxi Construction's historical news coverage. Shaanxi Construction's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.18 and 7.71, respectively. We have considered Shaanxi Construction's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.50
3.57
After-hype Price
7.71
Upside
Shaanxi Construction is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shaanxi Construction is based on 3 months time horizon.

Shaanxi Construction Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shaanxi Construction is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shaanxi Construction backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shaanxi Construction, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.89 
4.10
  0.07 
  0.15 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.50
3.57
2.00 
5,125  
Notes

Shaanxi Construction Hype Timeline

Shaanxi Construction is presently traded for 3.50on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.15. Shaanxi is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.57 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 2.0%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.89%. The volatility of related hype on Shaanxi Construction is about 2376.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.65. The company reported the revenue of 3.23 B. Net Loss for the year was (744.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 853.98 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Shaanxi Construction Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Shaanxi Construction Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Shaanxi Construction's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shaanxi Construction's future price movements. Getting to know how Shaanxi Construction's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shaanxi Construction may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
600259Rising Nonferrous Metals(0.05)2 per month 2.40  0.08  4.97 (3.67) 18.73 
000524Guangzhou Dongfang Hotel 0.00 0 per month 2.16  0.1  3.73 (2.75) 19.26 
601600Aluminum Corp of 0.50 1 per month 2.80  0.02  6.09 (3.93) 17.74 
601388Ye Chiu Metal(0.01)1 per month 2.23  0.1  4.53 (3.21) 19.26 
600258BTG Hotels Group 0.81 1 per month 1.92  0.09  4.66 (2.53) 17.65 
002304Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery 0.00 0 per month 2.32  0.02  6.87 (3.05) 19.21 
601007Jinling Hotel Corp 0.00 0 per month 2.11  0.06  4.00 (2.85) 18.23 
000612Jiaozuo Wanfang Aluminum 0.13 2 per month 2.74  0.07  6.47 (4.02) 19.13 

Shaanxi Construction Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Shaanxi price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shaanxi using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shaanxi charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Shaanxi Construction Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Shaanxi Construction stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Shaanxi Construction Machinery, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Shaanxi Construction based on analysis of Shaanxi Construction hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Shaanxi Construction's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Shaanxi Construction's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Shaanxi Construction

The number of cover stories for Shaanxi Construction depends on current market conditions and Shaanxi Construction's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shaanxi Construction is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shaanxi Construction's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Shaanxi Construction Short Properties

Shaanxi Construction's future price predictability will typically decrease when Shaanxi Construction's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Shaanxi Construction Machinery often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Shaanxi Construction's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shaanxi Construction's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.3 B

Complementary Tools for Shaanxi Stock analysis

When running Shaanxi Construction's price analysis, check to measure Shaanxi Construction's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shaanxi Construction is operating at the current time. Most of Shaanxi Construction's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shaanxi Construction's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shaanxi Construction's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shaanxi Construction to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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