Xilinmen Furniture (China) Price Prediction
| 603008 Stock | 18.95 0.45 2.43% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
46
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.19) | Wall Street Target Price 21.71 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) |
Using Xilinmen Furniture hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xilinmen Furniture Co from the perspective of Xilinmen Furniture response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Xilinmen Furniture to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Xilinmen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Xilinmen Furniture after-hype prediction price | CNY 19.37 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Xilinmen |
Xilinmen Furniture After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Xilinmen Furniture at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Xilinmen Furniture or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Xilinmen Furniture, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Xilinmen Furniture Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Xilinmen Furniture's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Xilinmen Furniture's historical news coverage. Xilinmen Furniture's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.95 and 22.79, respectively. We have considered Xilinmen Furniture's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Xilinmen Furniture is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Xilinmen Furniture is based on 3 months time horizon.
Xilinmen Furniture Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Xilinmen Furniture is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xilinmen Furniture backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Xilinmen Furniture, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.59 | 3.42 | 0.42 | 0.36 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.95 | 19.37 | 2.22 |
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Xilinmen Furniture Hype Timeline
Xilinmen Furniture is presently traded for 18.95on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.42, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.36. Xilinmen is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 19.37 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 2.22%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.59%. The volatility of related hype on Xilinmen Furniture is about 559.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.31. Xilinmen Furniture Co has accumulated 1.07 B in total debt. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Xilinmen Furniture Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Xilinmen Furniture Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Xilinmen Furniture's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Xilinmen Furniture's future price movements. Getting to know how Xilinmen Furniture's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Xilinmen Furniture may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 601668 | China State Construction | 0.02 | 1 per month | 2.53 | (0.0007) | 5.25 | (3.97) | 15.78 | |
| 001979 | China Merchants Shekou | 0.09 | 1 per month | 3.17 | 0.11 | 4.99 | (4.33) | 19.96 | |
| 600325 | Huafa Industrial Co | (0.08) | 1 per month | 2.66 | 0.05 | 6.36 | (3.51) | 20.03 | |
| 601995 | China International Capital | (0.52) | 3 per month | 2.86 | 0.08 | 8.00 | (4.75) | 20.01 | |
| 600519 | Kweichow Moutai Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.87 | 0 | 6.55 | (2.98) | 16.71 | |
| 300750 | Contemporary Amperex Technology | 4.16 | 1 per month | 3.09 | 0.13 | 7.94 | (3.41) | 33.42 |
Xilinmen Furniture Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Xilinmen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xilinmen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xilinmen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Xilinmen Furniture Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Xilinmen Furniture stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Xilinmen Furniture Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Xilinmen Furniture based on analysis of Xilinmen Furniture hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Xilinmen Furniture's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Xilinmen Furniture's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Xilinmen Furniture
The number of cover stories for Xilinmen Furniture depends on current market conditions and Xilinmen Furniture's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Xilinmen Furniture is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Xilinmen Furniture's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Xilinmen Furniture Short Properties
Xilinmen Furniture's future price predictability will typically decrease when Xilinmen Furniture's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Xilinmen Furniture Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Xilinmen Furniture's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xilinmen Furniture's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 387.4 M |
Complementary Tools for Xilinmen Stock analysis
When running Xilinmen Furniture's price analysis, check to measure Xilinmen Furniture's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xilinmen Furniture is operating at the current time. Most of Xilinmen Furniture's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xilinmen Furniture's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xilinmen Furniture's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xilinmen Furniture to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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