Hefei Metalforming (China) Price Prediction

603011 Stock   7.79  0.09  1.17%   
As of 2nd of December 2024, The relative strength index (RSI) of Hefei Metalforming's share price is at 56. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hefei Metalforming, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

56

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Hefei Metalforming's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hefei Metalforming Mach, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Hefei Metalforming's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.80)
Wall Street Target Price
13.8
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.233
Using Hefei Metalforming hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hefei Metalforming Mach from the perspective of Hefei Metalforming response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hefei Metalforming to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hefei because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Hefei Metalforming after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 7.79  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Hefei Metalforming Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.526.2710.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.827.5611.31
Details

Hefei Metalforming After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Hefei Metalforming at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hefei Metalforming or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hefei Metalforming, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Hefei Metalforming Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Hefei Metalforming's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hefei Metalforming's historical news coverage. Hefei Metalforming's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.04 and 11.54, respectively. We have considered Hefei Metalforming's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
7.79
7.79
After-hype Price
11.54
Upside
Hefei Metalforming is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hefei Metalforming Mach is based on 3 months time horizon.

Hefei Metalforming Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hefei Metalforming is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hefei Metalforming backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hefei Metalforming, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.65 
3.75
 0.00  
  0.01 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.79
7.79
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Hefei Metalforming Hype Timeline

Hefei Metalforming Mach is presently traded for 7.79on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Hefei is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.65%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hefei Metalforming is about 17045.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.78. About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.72. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Hefei Metalforming Mach recorded a loss per share of 0.1. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of September 2022. The firm had 20:10 split on the 10th of May 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Hefei Metalforming Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Hefei Metalforming Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Hefei Metalforming's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hefei Metalforming's future price movements. Getting to know how Hefei Metalforming's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hefei Metalforming may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Hefei Metalforming Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hefei price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hefei using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hefei charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Hefei Metalforming Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Hefei Metalforming stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hefei Metalforming Mach, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hefei Metalforming based on analysis of Hefei Metalforming hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hefei Metalforming's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hefei Metalforming's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Hefei Metalforming

The number of cover stories for Hefei Metalforming depends on current market conditions and Hefei Metalforming's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hefei Metalforming is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hefei Metalforming's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Hefei Metalforming Short Properties

Hefei Metalforming's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hefei Metalforming's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hefei Metalforming Mach often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hefei Metalforming's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hefei Metalforming's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding494.4 M

Complementary Tools for Hefei Stock analysis

When running Hefei Metalforming's price analysis, check to measure Hefei Metalforming's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hefei Metalforming is operating at the current time. Most of Hefei Metalforming's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hefei Metalforming's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hefei Metalforming's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hefei Metalforming to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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