Thinkingdom Media (China) Price Prediction
603096 Stock | 22.36 2.03 9.99% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.13) | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.11 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.22 | Wall Street Target Price 21.12 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.14) |
Using Thinkingdom Media hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Thinkingdom Media Group from the perspective of Thinkingdom Media response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Thinkingdom Media to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Thinkingdom because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Thinkingdom Media after-hype prediction price | CNY 22.36 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Thinkingdom |
Thinkingdom Media After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Thinkingdom Media at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Thinkingdom Media or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Thinkingdom Media, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Thinkingdom Media Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Thinkingdom Media's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Thinkingdom Media's historical news coverage. Thinkingdom Media's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.16 and 25.56, respectively. We have considered Thinkingdom Media's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Thinkingdom Media is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Thinkingdom Media is based on 3 months time horizon.
Thinkingdom Media Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Thinkingdom Media is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Thinkingdom Media backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Thinkingdom Media, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.70 | 3.20 | 0.08 | 0.18 | 8 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
22.36 | 22.36 | 0.00 |
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Thinkingdom Media Hype Timeline
Thinkingdom Media is presently traded for 22.36on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.18. Thinkingdom is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.7%. %. The volatility of related hype on Thinkingdom Media is about 1259.84%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.18. About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.81. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Thinkingdom Media last dividend was issued on the 7th of June 2024. The entity had 1.2:1 split on the 10th of June 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Thinkingdom Media Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Thinkingdom Media Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Thinkingdom Media's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Thinkingdom Media's future price movements. Getting to know how Thinkingdom Media's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Thinkingdom Media may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
600307 | Gansu Jiu Steel | 0.06 | 1 per month | 2.90 | 0.12 | 9.56 | (3.55) | 19.98 | |
601615 | Ming Yang Smart | 0.13 | 2 per month | 2.31 | 0.18 | 7.78 | (4.15) | 18.14 | |
300261 | Aba Chemicals Corp | (0.32) | 1 per month | 3.97 | 0.11 | 12.80 | (6.28) | 30.23 | |
300729 | Loctek Ergonomic Technology | 0.04 | 5 per month | 2.84 | 0.09 | 6.27 | (3.09) | 24.80 | |
300590 | Queclink Wireless Solutions | 0.64 | 2 per month | 3.95 | 0.09 | 5.96 | (5.99) | 36.78 | |
600742 | Changchun Faway Automobile | (0.41) | 2 per month | 1.95 | 0.1 | 3.88 | (3.15) | 12.33 | |
300243 | Shandong Ruifeng Chemical | (0.50) | 1 per month | 3.62 | 0.10 | 10.41 | (4.71) | 31.77 | |
002605 | Shanghai Yaoji Playing | (2.06) | 1 per month | 3.23 | 0.18 | 9.99 | (6.01) | 19.99 | |
300378 | Digiwin Software Co | (0.12) | 2 per month | 3.87 | 0.15 | 9.57 | (6.74) | 31.26 | |
002688 | Jinhe Biotechnology Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.74 | 0.11 | 4.05 | (3.17) | 11.97 |
Thinkingdom Media Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Thinkingdom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Thinkingdom using various technical indicators. When you analyze Thinkingdom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Thinkingdom Media Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Thinkingdom Media stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Thinkingdom Media Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Thinkingdom Media based on analysis of Thinkingdom Media hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Thinkingdom Media's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Thinkingdom Media's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Thinkingdom Media
The number of cover stories for Thinkingdom Media depends on current market conditions and Thinkingdom Media's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Thinkingdom Media is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Thinkingdom Media's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Thinkingdom Media Short Properties
Thinkingdom Media's future price predictability will typically decrease when Thinkingdom Media's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Thinkingdom Media Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Thinkingdom Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thinkingdom Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 162.5 M |
Complementary Tools for Thinkingdom Stock analysis
When running Thinkingdom Media's price analysis, check to measure Thinkingdom Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Thinkingdom Media is operating at the current time. Most of Thinkingdom Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Thinkingdom Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Thinkingdom Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Thinkingdom Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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