Pesona Metro (Malaysia) Price Prediction
8311 Stock | 0.31 0.01 3.33% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
66
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Pesona Metro hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pesona Metro Holdings from the perspective of Pesona Metro response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Pesona Metro to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Pesona because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Pesona Metro after-hype prediction price | MYR 0.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Pesona |
Pesona Metro After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Pesona Metro at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pesona Metro or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pesona Metro, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Pesona Metro Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Pesona Metro's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pesona Metro's historical news coverage. Pesona Metro's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 2.81, respectively. We have considered Pesona Metro's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Pesona Metro is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pesona Metro Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Pesona Metro Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pesona Metro is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pesona Metro backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pesona Metro, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.43 | 2.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.31 | 0.31 | 0.00 |
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Pesona Metro Hype Timeline
Pesona Metro Holdings is presently traded for 0.31on Kuala Lumpur Exchange of Malaysia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Pesona is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.43%. %. The volatility of related hype on Pesona Metro is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.31. The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.08. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Pesona Metro Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:5 split on the 25th of September 2012. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Pesona Metro Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Pesona Metro Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pesona Metro's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pesona Metro's future price movements. Getting to know how Pesona Metro's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pesona Metro may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
7076 | CB Industrial Product | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.34 | (2.31) | 7.49 | |
8338 | Dataprep Holdings Bhd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 7.14 | (6.67) | 33.93 | |
7811 | Sapura Industrial Bhd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.56 | 0.03 | 2.50 | (2.44) | 11.35 | |
0250 | YX Precious Metals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.85 | (3.85) | 8.17 | |
5216 | Datasonic Group Bhd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.56 | (2.50) | 9.89 | |
7095 | PIE Industrial Bhd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.16 | 0.11 | 2.61 | (2.02) | 9.39 | |
8869 | Press Metal Bhd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.67 | (3.38) | 10.00 |
Pesona Metro Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pesona price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pesona using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pesona charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Pesona Metro Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Pesona Metro stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Pesona Metro Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Pesona Metro based on analysis of Pesona Metro hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Pesona Metro's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Pesona Metro's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Pesona Metro
The number of cover stories for Pesona Metro depends on current market conditions and Pesona Metro's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pesona Metro is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pesona Metro's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Pesona Metro Short Properties
Pesona Metro's future price predictability will typically decrease when Pesona Metro's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Pesona Metro Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Pesona Metro's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pesona Metro's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 695 M | |
Short Long Term Debt | 45 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 54 M |
Other Information on Investing in Pesona Stock
Pesona Metro financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pesona Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pesona with respect to the benefits of owning Pesona Metro security.