Acadian Timber Corp Stock Price Prediction
ADN Stock | CAD 17.95 0.18 1.01% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Acadian Timber hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Acadian Timber Corp from the perspective of Acadian Timber response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Acadian Timber to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Acadian because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Acadian Timber after-hype prediction price | CAD 17.78 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Acadian |
Acadian Timber After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Acadian Timber at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Acadian Timber or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Acadian Timber, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Acadian Timber Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Acadian Timber's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Acadian Timber's historical news coverage. Acadian Timber's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.95 and 18.61, respectively. We have considered Acadian Timber's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Acadian Timber is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Acadian Timber Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Acadian Timber Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Acadian Timber is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Acadian Timber backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Acadian Timber, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.95 | 17.78 | 0.06 |
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Acadian Timber Hype Timeline
Acadian Timber Corp is presently traded for 17.95on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Acadian is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 17.78 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Acadian Timber is about 2003.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.95. The company reported the revenue of 93.48 M. Net Income was 29.43 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 26.2 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Acadian Timber Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Acadian Timber Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Acadian Timber's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Acadian Timber's future price movements. Getting to know how Acadian Timber's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Acadian Timber may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
RHT | Reliq Health Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
MFI | Maple Leaf Foods | 0.44 | 1 per month | 1.34 | (0.03) | 3.06 | (2.30) | 8.39 | |
GH | Gamehost | (0.06) | 3 per month | 0.75 | (0.10) | 1.23 | (1.52) | 4.95 | |
GYM | TUT Fitness Group | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
AND | Andlauer Healthcare Gr | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.21 | (0.03) | 2.56 | (2.21) | 9.01 | |
SGR-U | Slate Grocery REIT | (0.09) | 2 per month | 0.62 | 0.06 | 3.65 | (1.39) | 6.84 | |
CRM | SalesforceCom CDR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.79 | 0.22 | 3.55 | (1.41) | 10.15 |
Acadian Timber Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Acadian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Acadian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Acadian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Acadian Timber Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Acadian Timber stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Acadian Timber Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Acadian Timber based on analysis of Acadian Timber hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Acadian Timber's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Acadian Timber's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Acadian Timber
The number of cover stories for Acadian Timber depends on current market conditions and Acadian Timber's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Acadian Timber is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Acadian Timber's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Acadian Timber Short Properties
Acadian Timber's future price predictability will typically decrease when Acadian Timber's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Acadian Timber Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Acadian Timber's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acadian Timber's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.1 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 M |
Other Information on Investing in Acadian Stock
Acadian Timber financial ratios help investors to determine whether Acadian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Acadian with respect to the benefits of owning Acadian Timber security.