Aegon Funding Stock Price Prediction

AEFC Stock  USD 21.46  0.33  1.51%   
At the present time, the value of relative strength index of Aegon Funding's share price is approaching 36. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Aegon Funding, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

39

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Aegon Funding's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Aegon Funding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Aegon Funding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aegon Funding from the perspective of Aegon Funding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aegon Funding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aegon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Aegon Funding after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 21.48  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Aegon Funding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Aegon Stock refer to our How to Trade Aegon Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.7521.5922.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.7721.6222.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.2821.5021.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aegon Funding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aegon Funding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aegon Funding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aegon Funding.

Aegon Funding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Aegon Funding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aegon Funding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aegon Funding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Aegon Funding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Aegon Funding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aegon Funding's historical news coverage. Aegon Funding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.64 and 22.32, respectively. We have considered Aegon Funding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
21.46
21.48
After-hype Price
22.32
Upside
Aegon Funding is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aegon Funding is based on 3 months time horizon.

Aegon Funding Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aegon Funding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aegon Funding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aegon Funding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
0.84
  0.02 
 0.00  
1 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
21.46
21.48
0.09 
161.54  
Notes

Aegon Funding Hype Timeline

Aegon Funding is presently traded for 21.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Aegon is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 21.48 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 161.54%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Aegon Funding is about 3024.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.46. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Aegon Funding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Aegon Stock refer to our How to Trade Aegon Stock guide.

Aegon Funding Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Aegon Funding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aegon Funding's future price movements. Getting to know how Aegon Funding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aegon Funding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
JSMNavient SR 0.02 7 per month 0.98 (0.07) 1.51 (1.66) 5.11 
INBKZFirst Internet Bancorp 0.08 5 per month 0.58 (0.13) 0.98 (1.08) 3.62 
RCCSmall Cap Premium(0.08)5 per month 0.35 (0.17) 1.03 (0.70) 2.37 
SFBStifel Financial 0.04 2 per month 0.00 (0.28) 0.90 (1.46) 2.84 
BHFALBrighthouse Financial 0.17 6 per month 0.63 (0.08) 1.12 (1.10) 3.12 
RILYMB Riley Financial,(0.21)5 per month 2.55  0.07  3.59 (3.96) 28.41 
ZIONLZions Bancorporation NA(0.29)10 per month 0.33 (0.32) 0.55 (0.74) 1.78 
ARGDArgo Group 65(0.08)1 per month 0.67 (0.12) 0.88 (1.14) 2.87 
DHCNIDHCNI 0.10 3 per month 1.39 (0.02) 2.70 (2.36) 9.84 

Aegon Funding Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Aegon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aegon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aegon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Aegon Funding Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Aegon Funding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aegon Funding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aegon Funding based on analysis of Aegon Funding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aegon Funding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aegon Funding's related companies.
 2010 2023 2024 (projected)
Current Ratio1.381.241.1
Net Debt To EBITDA427.27384.55341.82

Story Coverage note for Aegon Funding

The number of cover stories for Aegon Funding depends on current market conditions and Aegon Funding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aegon Funding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aegon Funding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Aegon Funding Short Properties

Aegon Funding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Aegon Funding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aegon Funding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aegon Funding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aegon Funding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0254

Complementary Tools for Aegon Stock analysis

When running Aegon Funding's price analysis, check to measure Aegon Funding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aegon Funding is operating at the current time. Most of Aegon Funding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aegon Funding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aegon Funding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aegon Funding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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