Alamos Gold Stock Price Prediction
| AGI Stock | CAD 26.39 0.09 0.34% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
66
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.011 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.32 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.819 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.2516 | Wall Street Target Price 37.5074 |
Using Alamos Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alamos Gold from the perspective of Alamos Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Alamos Gold to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Alamos because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Alamos Gold after-hype prediction price | CAD 26.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Alamos |
Alamos Gold After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Alamos Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Alamos Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Alamos Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Alamos Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Alamos Gold's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Alamos Gold's historical news coverage. Alamos Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.33 and 28.45, respectively. We have considered Alamos Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Alamos Gold is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alamos Gold is based on 3 months time horizon.
Alamos Gold Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Alamos Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alamos Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Alamos Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 2.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
26.39 | 26.39 | 0.00 |
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Alamos Gold Hype Timeline
Alamos Gold is presently traded for 26.39on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Alamos is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Alamos Gold is about 41200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.39. About 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Alamos Gold was presently reported as 8.35. The company last dividend was issued on the 5th of December 2024. Alamos Gold had 1:2 split on the 21st of February 2003. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Alamos Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Alamos Gold Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Alamos Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Alamos Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Alamos Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Alamos Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WSK | Wildsky Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.00 | (9.09) | 55.68 | |
| QGR | Q Gold Resources | 0.02 | 3 per month | 7.13 | (0) | 14.29 | (15.79) | 40.72 | |
| PGC | Plato Gold Corp | 0.00 | 2 per month | 11.44 | 0.05 | 50.00 | (33.33) | 83.33 | |
| GLB | Goldbank Mining Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.22 | 0.07 | 20.00 | (11.11) | 96.74 |
Alamos Gold Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Alamos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alamos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alamos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Alamos Gold Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Alamos Gold stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Alamos Gold, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alamos Gold based on analysis of Alamos Gold hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Alamos Gold's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Alamos Gold's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0113 | 0.008502 | 0.006626 | 0.0106 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.67 | 4.83 | 5.21 | 4.95 |
Story Coverage note for Alamos Gold
The number of cover stories for Alamos Gold depends on current market conditions and Alamos Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Alamos Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Alamos Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Alamos Gold Short Properties
Alamos Gold's future price predictability will typically decrease when Alamos Gold's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Alamos Gold often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Alamos Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alamos Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 398.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 237.8 M |
Check out Alamos Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Alamos Stock, please use our How to Invest in Alamos Gold guide.You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.