Agnc Investment Corp Preferred Stock Price Prediction
| AGNCO Preferred Stock | USD 25.64 0.04 0.16% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Using AGNC Investment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AGNC Investment Corp from the perspective of AGNC Investment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AGNC Investment to buy its preferred stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AGNC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell preferred stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
AGNC Investment after-hype prediction price | USD 25.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AGNC |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AGNC Investment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AGNC Investment After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AGNC Investment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AGNC Investment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of AGNC Investment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AGNC Investment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AGNC Investment's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AGNC Investment's historical news coverage. AGNC Investment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.41 and 25.87, respectively. We have considered AGNC Investment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AGNC Investment is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AGNC Investment Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
AGNC Investment Preferred Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AGNC Investment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AGNC Investment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AGNC Investment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.64 | 25.64 | 0.00 |
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AGNC Investment Hype Timeline
AGNC Investment Corp is presently traded for 25.64. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. AGNC is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on AGNC Investment is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.64. About 27.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.86. AGNC Investment Corp last dividend was issued on the 17th of January 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out AGNC Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.AGNC Investment Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AGNC Investment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AGNC Investment's future price movements. Getting to know how AGNC Investment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AGNC Investment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NLY-PG | Annaly Capital Management | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 0.40 | (0.32) | 1.23 | |
| AGNCO | AGNC Investment Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.05 | (0.07) | 0.40 | (0.35) | 1.31 | |
| MFA-PB | MFA Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.20 | (1.25) | 6.87 | |
| TWO-PA | Two Harbors Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 0.91 | (0.94) | 2.32 | |
| IVR-PC | Invesco Mortgage Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.59 | (1.87) | 5.89 | |
| CIM-PB | Chimera Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.29 | (0.03) | 0.61 | (0.60) | 2.27 | |
| CIM-PD | Chimera Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.19 | (0.02) | 0.55 | (0.53) | 1.48 | |
| IVR-PB | Invesco Mortgage Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.43 | (0.04) | 0.86 | (0.90) | 2.94 |
AGNC Investment Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AGNC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AGNC using various technical indicators. When you analyze AGNC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About AGNC Investment Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of AGNC Investment stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AGNC Investment Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AGNC Investment based on analysis of AGNC Investment hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AGNC Investment's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AGNC Investment's related companies.
Story Coverage note for AGNC Investment
The number of cover stories for AGNC Investment depends on current market conditions and AGNC Investment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AGNC Investment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AGNC Investment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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AGNC Investment Short Properties
AGNC Investment's future price predictability will typically decrease when AGNC Investment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AGNC Investment Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AGNC Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AGNC Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 574.6 M | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0732 | |
| Short Percent | 0.001 |
Other Information on Investing in AGNC Preferred Stock
AGNC Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether AGNC Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AGNC with respect to the benefits of owning AGNC Investment security.