Berkshire Hills Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
| BHLB Stock | USD 30.61 0.30 0.99% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
62
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.956 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.54 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.1717 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.42 | Wall Street Target Price 31.3 |
Using Berkshire Hills hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Berkshire Hills Bancorp from the perspective of Berkshire Hills response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Berkshire Hills to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Berkshire because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Berkshire Hills after-hype prediction price | USD 30.69 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Berkshire |
Berkshire Hills After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Berkshire Hills at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Berkshire Hills or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Berkshire Hills, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Berkshire Hills Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Berkshire Hills' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Berkshire Hills' historical news coverage. Berkshire Hills' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.44 and 32.94, respectively. We have considered Berkshire Hills' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Berkshire Hills is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Berkshire Hills Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Berkshire Hills Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Berkshire Hills is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Berkshire Hills backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Berkshire Hills, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 2.25 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 8 Events / Month | 17 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
30.61 | 30.69 | 0.10 |
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Berkshire Hills Hype Timeline
Berkshire Hills Bancorp is currently traded for 30.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Berkshire is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 30.69. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Berkshire Hills is about 1637.66%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.65. About 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.23. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Berkshire Hills Bancorp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.74. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Berkshire Hills Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Berkshire Hills Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Berkshire Hills' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Berkshire Hills' future price movements. Getting to know how Berkshire Hills' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Berkshire Hills may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Berkshire Hills Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Berkshire price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Berkshire using various technical indicators. When you analyze Berkshire charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Berkshire Hills Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Berkshire Hills stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Berkshire Hills Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Berkshire Hills based on analysis of Berkshire Hills hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Berkshire Hills's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Berkshire Hills's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0175 | 0.018 | 0.019 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.67 | 3.29 | 2.41 |
Story Coverage note for Berkshire Hills
The number of cover stories for Berkshire Hills depends on current market conditions and Berkshire Hills' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Berkshire Hills is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Berkshire Hills' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Berkshire Hills Short Properties
Berkshire Hills' future price predictability will typically decrease when Berkshire Hills' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Berkshire Hills Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Berkshire Hills' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Berkshire Hills' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
Complementary Tools for Berkshire Stock analysis
When running Berkshire Hills' price analysis, check to measure Berkshire Hills' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Berkshire Hills is operating at the current time. Most of Berkshire Hills' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Berkshire Hills' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Berkshire Hills' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Berkshire Hills to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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