Blue Bird (Indonesia) Price Prediction

BIRD Stock  IDR 1,730  95.00  5.21%   
As of now, the value of RSI of Blue Bird's share price is approaching 35 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Blue Bird, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

35

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Blue Bird's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Blue Bird Tbk, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Blue Bird hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Blue Bird Tbk from the perspective of Blue Bird response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Blue Bird to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Blue because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Blue Bird after-hype prediction price

    
  IDR 1730.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Blue Bird Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,5331,5351,903
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,6901,6921,694
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,7211,8622,002
Details

Blue Bird After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Blue Bird at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Blue Bird or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Blue Bird, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.151716.241719.681723.121726.561730.01733.441736.881740.321743.76 Price after next news: 1730 0.020.040.060.08
       Expected price to next headline  

Blue Bird Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Blue Bird's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Blue Bird's historical news coverage. Blue Bird's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,728 and 1,732, respectively. We have considered Blue Bird's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1,730
1,730
After-hype Price
1,732
Upside
Blue Bird is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Blue Bird Tbk is based on 3 months time horizon.

Blue Bird Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Blue Bird is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Blue Bird backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Blue Bird, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.10 
2.07
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1,730
1,730
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Blue Bird Hype Timeline

Blue Bird Tbk is currently traded for 1,730on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Blue is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Blue Bird is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,730. About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.74. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Blue Bird Tbk recorded earning per share (EPS) of 129.06. The entity last dividend was issued on the 4th of July 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Blue Bird Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152120.01,730NovDec
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15OctNovDec

Blue Bird Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Blue Bird's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Blue Bird's future price movements. Getting to know how Blue Bird's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Blue Bird may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
IPCCPT Indonesia Kendaraan 0.00 0 per month 0.93  0.03  2.08 (2.00) 9.70 
TOTOSurya Toto Indonesia 0.00 0 per month 0.92 (0.01) 1.87 (1.70) 7.10 
MPMXMitra Pinasthika Mustika 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.27) 0.51 (0.97) 2.48 
WOODIntegra Indocabinet Tbk 0.00 0 per month 1.82  0.13  5.19 (3.70) 24.26 
MASAMultistrada Arah Sarana 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BIPPBhuwanatala Indah Permai 0.00 0 per month 2.22  0.07  3.70 (6.25) 14.36 
MBAPMitrabara Adiperdana PT 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.18) 1.66 (2.03) 8.51 
FOLKPT Multi Garam 0.00 0 per month 2.66 (0) 2.00 (5.56) 48.93 
BINABank Ina Perdana 0.00 0 per month 0.68 (0.08) 1.50 (1.21) 6.07 
MBSSMitrabahtera Segara Sejati 0.00 0 per month 1.88  0.01  4.57 (3.60) 15.25 

Blue Bird Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Blue price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Blue using various technical indicators. When you analyze Blue charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Blue Bird Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Blue Bird stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Blue Bird Tbk, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Blue Bird based on analysis of Blue Bird hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Blue Bird's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Blue Bird's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Blue Bird

The number of cover stories for Blue Bird depends on current market conditions and Blue Bird's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Blue Bird is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Blue Bird's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Blue Bird Short Properties

Blue Bird's future price predictability will typically decrease when Blue Bird's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Blue Bird Tbk often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Blue Bird's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blue Bird's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments945.6 B

Other Information on Investing in Blue Stock

Blue Bird financial ratios help investors to determine whether Blue Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Blue with respect to the benefits of owning Blue Bird security.

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