Builders Firstsource Stock Price Prediction
| BLDR Stock | USD 186.47 1.72 0.93% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.32) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.31 | EPS Estimate Current Year 11.4535 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.8581 | Wall Street Target Price 211 |
Using Builders FirstSource hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Builders FirstSource from the perspective of Builders FirstSource response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Builders FirstSource Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Builders FirstSource's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Builders. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Builders can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Builders FirstSource. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Builders FirstSource's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Builders FirstSource.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Builders FirstSource to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Builders because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Builders FirstSource after-hype prediction price | USD 186.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Builders |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Builders FirstSource's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Builders FirstSource After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Builders FirstSource at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Builders FirstSource or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Builders FirstSource, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Builders FirstSource Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Builders FirstSource's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Builders FirstSource's historical news coverage. Builders FirstSource's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 184.00 and 188.32, respectively. We have considered Builders FirstSource's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Builders FirstSource is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Builders FirstSource is based on 3 months time horizon.
Builders FirstSource Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Builders FirstSource is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Builders FirstSource backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Builders FirstSource, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 2.16 | 0.31 | 0.02 | 10 Events / Month | 12 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
186.47 | 186.16 | 0.17 |
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Builders FirstSource Hype Timeline
Builders FirstSource is currently traded for 186.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.31, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Builders is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 186.16. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 124.14%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.17%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Builders FirstSource is about 2256.72%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 186.49. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Builders FirstSource was currently reported as 38.48. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.81. Builders FirstSource recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.24. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1086:995 split on the 17th of December 2009. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Builders FirstSource Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Builders FirstSource Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Builders FirstSource's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Builders FirstSource's future price movements. Getting to know how Builders FirstSource's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Builders FirstSource may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Builders FirstSource Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Builders price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Builders using various technical indicators. When you analyze Builders charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Builders FirstSource Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Builders FirstSource stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Builders FirstSource, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Builders FirstSource based on analysis of Builders FirstSource hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Builders FirstSource's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Builders FirstSource's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 39.84 | 29.98 | 40.41 | 42.79 | PTB Ratio | 3.6 | 2.12 | 4.51 | 4.73 |
Story Coverage note for Builders FirstSource
The number of cover stories for Builders FirstSource depends on current market conditions and Builders FirstSource's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Builders FirstSource is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Builders FirstSource's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Builders FirstSource Short Properties
Builders FirstSource's future price predictability will typically decrease when Builders FirstSource's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Builders FirstSource often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Builders FirstSource's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Builders FirstSource's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 129 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 66.2 M |
Additional Tools for Builders Stock Analysis
When running Builders FirstSource's price analysis, check to measure Builders FirstSource's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Builders FirstSource is operating at the current time. Most of Builders FirstSource's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Builders FirstSource's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Builders FirstSource's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Builders FirstSource to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.