The Baldwin Insurance Stock Price Prediction
| BWIN Stock | 38.95 1.65 4.06% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year 1.56 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.04 | Wall Street Target Price 45.33 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.144 |
Using Baldwin Insurance hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Baldwin Insurance from the perspective of Baldwin Insurance response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Baldwin Insurance to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Baldwin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Baldwin Insurance after-hype prediction price | USD 40.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Baldwin |
Baldwin Insurance After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Baldwin Insurance at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Baldwin Insurance or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Baldwin Insurance, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Baldwin Insurance Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Baldwin Insurance's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Baldwin Insurance's historical news coverage. Baldwin Insurance's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.71 and 44.03, respectively. We have considered Baldwin Insurance's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Baldwin Insurance is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Baldwin Insurance is based on 3 months time horizon.
Baldwin Insurance Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Baldwin Insurance is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Baldwin Insurance backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Baldwin Insurance, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 3.16 | 0.27 | 0.18 | 11 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
38.95 | 40.87 | 0.67 |
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Baldwin Insurance Hype Timeline
Baldwin Insurance is currently traded for 38.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.27, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.18. Baldwin is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 40.87 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.67%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.3%. The volatility of related hype on Baldwin Insurance is about 531.99%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.13. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.22 B. Net Loss for the year was (90.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Baldwin Insurance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Baldwin Insurance Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Baldwin Insurance's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Baldwin Insurance's future price movements. Getting to know how Baldwin Insurance's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Baldwin Insurance may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ERIE | Erie Indemnity | 1.67 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.14 | (3.12) | 10.81 | |
| BRO | Brown Brown | 0.14 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.88 | (2.13) | 6.33 | |
| WTW | Willis Towers Watson | 2.02 | 10 per month | 1.01 | 0.02 | 2.05 | (1.72) | 6.26 | |
| GOCO | GoHealth | (0.84) | 7 per month | 3.16 | 0.12 | 9.12 | (5.47) | 17.48 | |
| HUIZ | Huize Holding | (0.02) | 10 per month | 6.73 | 0.11 | 14.29 | (14.46) | 1,055 |
Baldwin Insurance Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Baldwin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Baldwin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Baldwin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Baldwin Insurance Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Baldwin Insurance stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as The Baldwin Insurance, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Baldwin Insurance based on analysis of Baldwin Insurance hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Baldwin Insurance's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Baldwin Insurance's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 2.45E-4 | 2.33E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.48 | 2.79 |
Story Coverage note for Baldwin Insurance
The number of cover stories for Baldwin Insurance depends on current market conditions and Baldwin Insurance's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Baldwin Insurance is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Baldwin Insurance's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Baldwin Insurance Short Properties
Baldwin Insurance's future price predictability will typically decrease when Baldwin Insurance's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of The Baldwin Insurance often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Baldwin Insurance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Baldwin Insurance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 116.2 M |
Check out Baldwin Insurance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Insurance Brokers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Baldwin Insurance. If investors know Baldwin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Baldwin Insurance listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.80) | Revenue Per Share 21.258 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.144 | Return On Assets 0.0151 | Return On Equity (0.08) |
The market value of Baldwin Insurance is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Baldwin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Baldwin Insurance's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Baldwin Insurance's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Baldwin Insurance's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Baldwin Insurance's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Baldwin Insurance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Baldwin Insurance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Baldwin Insurance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.