Contact Energy (Germany) Price Prediction
| BZB Stock | EUR 4.52 0.04 0.88% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
46
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Contact Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Contact Energy Limited from the perspective of Contact Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Contact Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Contact because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Contact Energy after-hype prediction price | EUR 4.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Contact |
Contact Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Contact Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Contact Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Contact Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Contact Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Contact Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Contact Energy's historical news coverage. Contact Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.73 and 6.31, respectively. We have considered Contact Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Contact Energy is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Contact Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Contact Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Contact Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Contact Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Contact Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.52 | 4.52 | 0.00 |
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Contact Energy Hype Timeline
Contact Energy is currently traded for 4.52on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Contact is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Contact Energy is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.52. About 25.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Contact Energy was currently reported as 3.4. The company last dividend was issued on the 9th of March 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Contact Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Contact Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Contact Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Contact Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Contact Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Contact Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CYZB | CN YANGTPWR GDR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.89 | 0.02 | 5.39 | (4.92) | 25.16 | |
| ENR0 | SIEMENS ENERGY AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.47 | 0.30 | 5.37 | (3.06) | 15.00 | |
| ENR | Siemens Energy AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.46 | 0.32 | 4.29 | (2.87) | 11.97 | |
| 0V6 | Vistra Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.93 | 0.19 | 8.63 | (5.69) | 19.27 | |
| CENN | CENTRICA ADR NEW | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.30 | 0.03 | 2.54 | (1.86) | 5.61 | |
| BJI | Datang International Power | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.23 | 0.05 | 6.25 | (5.56) | 21.11 | |
| BZB | Contact Energy Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.74 | 0.01 | 2.74 | (2.26) | 12.75 | |
| 06Y | POLENERGIA SA ZY | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.95 | 0.01 | 2.80 | (2.89) | 10.61 |
Contact Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Contact price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Contact using various technical indicators. When you analyze Contact charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Contact Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Contact Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Contact Energy Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Contact Energy based on analysis of Contact Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Contact Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Contact Energy's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Contact Energy
The number of cover stories for Contact Energy depends on current market conditions and Contact Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Contact Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Contact Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Contact Energy Short Properties
Contact Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Contact Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Contact Energy Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Contact Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Contact Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 780.6 M |
Complementary Tools for Contact Stock analysis
When running Contact Energy's price analysis, check to measure Contact Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Contact Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Contact Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Contact Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Contact Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Contact Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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