Canfor Pulp Products Stock Price Prediction
| CFPUF Stock | USD 0.60 0.01 1.69% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
28
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Canfor Pulp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Canfor Pulp Products from the perspective of Canfor Pulp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Canfor Pulp to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Canfor because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Canfor Pulp after-hype prediction price | USD 0.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Canfor |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Canfor Pulp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Canfor Pulp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Canfor Pulp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Canfor Pulp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Canfor Pulp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Canfor Pulp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Canfor Pulp's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Canfor Pulp's historical news coverage. Canfor Pulp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 4.23, respectively. We have considered Canfor Pulp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Canfor Pulp is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Canfor Pulp Products is based on 3 months time horizon.
Canfor Pulp Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Canfor Pulp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Canfor Pulp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Canfor Pulp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 3.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.60 | 0.60 | 0.00 |
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Canfor Pulp Hype Timeline
Canfor Pulp Products is currently traded for 0.60. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Canfor is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Canfor Pulp is about 56279.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.60. About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.55. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Canfor Pulp Products recorded a loss per share of 0.86. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of March 2020. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Canfor Pulp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Canfor Pulp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Canfor Pulp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Canfor Pulp's future price movements. Getting to know how Canfor Pulp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Canfor Pulp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ADVWW | Advantage Solutions | 0.00 | 5 per month | 14.84 | 0.05 | 29.75 | (31.51) | 146.36 | |
| ATCOL | Atlas Corp | (0.03) | 1 per month | 0.23 | (0.17) | 0.65 | (0.56) | 1.81 | |
| PCTTW | PureCycle Technologies | 0.00 | 6 per month | 4.90 | 0.17 | 14.15 | (10.81) | 51.37 | |
| MAPSW | WM Technology | 0 | 4 per month | 10.69 | 0.03 | 28.53 | (21.07) | 78.90 | |
| GOEVW | Canoo Holdings | (0.0006) | 4 per month | 12.21 | 0.01 | 18.09 | (20.53) | 129.85 | |
| GCMGW | GCM Grosvenor | (0.01) | 4 per month | 7.16 | 0.15 | 14.29 | (13.27) | 44.40 |
Canfor Pulp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Canfor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Canfor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Canfor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Canfor Pulp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Canfor Pulp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Canfor Pulp Products, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Canfor Pulp based on analysis of Canfor Pulp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Canfor Pulp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Canfor Pulp's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Canfor Pulp
The number of cover stories for Canfor Pulp depends on current market conditions and Canfor Pulp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Canfor Pulp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Canfor Pulp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Canfor Pulp Short Properties
Canfor Pulp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Canfor Pulp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Canfor Pulp Products often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Canfor Pulp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Canfor Pulp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65.2 M |
Complementary Tools for Canfor Pink Sheet analysis
When running Canfor Pulp's price analysis, check to measure Canfor Pulp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Canfor Pulp is operating at the current time. Most of Canfor Pulp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Canfor Pulp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Canfor Pulp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Canfor Pulp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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