Cosmos Group Holdings Stock Price Prediction
As of 4th of December 2024 the relative strength index (rsi) of Cosmos Group's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.
The successful prediction of Cosmos Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Cosmos Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Cosmos Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cosmos Group Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Check out Cosmos Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Cosmos Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cosmos Group Holdings from the perspective of Cosmos Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cosmos Group to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cosmos because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cosmos Group after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Cosmos |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cosmos Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cosmos Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cosmos Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cosmos Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Cosmos Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cosmos Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cosmos Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cosmos Group's historical news coverage. Cosmos Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.00, respectively. We have considered Cosmos Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cosmos Group is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cosmos Group Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cosmos Group Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cosmos Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cosmos Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cosmos Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
56.25 | 246.81 | 0.00 | 0.34 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
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Cosmos Group Hype Timeline
Cosmos Group Holdings is currently traded for 0.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.34. Cosmos is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 56.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cosmos Group is about 4113500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.34. About 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.1. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Cosmos Group Holdings recorded a loss per share of 0.26. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of February 2018. The firm had 1:20 split on the 6th of February 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Cosmos Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cosmos Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cosmos Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cosmos Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Cosmos Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cosmos Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TOMZ | TOMI Environmental Solutions | 0.05 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.79 | (6.25) | 21.76 | |
| SCRYY | SCOR PK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.97 | 0.07 | 5.61 | (4.09) | 12.99 | |
| 444859BR2 | HUMANA INC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.93 | (5.79) | 16.62 | |
| AQUI | Aquagold International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BRRAY | Barloworld Ltd ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 0.00 | (2.98) | 34.02 | |
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.50 | (0.09) | 1.21 | (1.02) | 2.80 | |
| ABHYX | High Yield Municipal Fund | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.25 | (0.29) | 0.34 | (0.33) | 1.91 | |
| ID | SPACE | 0.02 | 1 per month | 4.00 | 0.18 | 7.89 | (6.67) | 20.54 | |
| VIASP | Via Renewables | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.11 | (0.01) | 2.28 | (1.20) | 7.18 | |
| AAEVX | American Century One | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.52 | (0.05) | 0.93 | (0.77) | 2.76 |
Cosmos Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cosmos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cosmos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cosmos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Cosmos Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cosmos Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cosmos Group Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cosmos Group based on analysis of Cosmos Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cosmos Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cosmos Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Cosmos Group
The number of cover stories for Cosmos Group depends on current market conditions and Cosmos Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cosmos Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cosmos Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cosmos Group Short Properties
Cosmos Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cosmos Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cosmos Group Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cosmos Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cosmos Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1131.13 |
Complementary Tools for Cosmos Pink Sheet analysis
When running Cosmos Group's price analysis, check to measure Cosmos Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cosmos Group is operating at the current time. Most of Cosmos Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cosmos Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cosmos Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cosmos Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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