Daqo New Energy Stock Price Prediction

DQ Stock  USD 17.51  0.11  0.63%   
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Daqo New's share price is approaching 46 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Daqo New, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

46

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Daqo New's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Daqo New Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Daqo New's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.93)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(1.08)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(3.29)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(1.28)
Wall Street Target Price
26.09
Using Daqo New hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Daqo New Energy from the perspective of Daqo New response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Daqo New to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Daqo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Daqo New after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 17.64  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Daqo New Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.7624.6531.19
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
42.3046.4851.59
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.97-0.82-0.75
Details

Daqo New After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Daqo New at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Daqo New or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Daqo New, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Daqo New Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Daqo New's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Daqo New's historical news coverage. Daqo New's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.10 and 24.18, respectively. We have considered Daqo New's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
17.51
17.64
After-hype Price
24.18
Upside
Daqo New is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Daqo New Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Daqo New Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Daqo New is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Daqo New backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Daqo New, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.33 
6.54
  0.13 
  0.09 
11 Events / Month
13 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.51
17.64
0.74 
1,677  
Notes

Daqo New Hype Timeline

As of December 22, 2024 Daqo New Energy is listed for 17.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Daqo is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 17.64 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.74%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Daqo New is about 2509.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.42. The company generated the yearly revenue of 2.31 B. Reported Net Income was 429.55 M with gross profit of 3.41 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Daqo New Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Daqo New Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Daqo New's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Daqo New's future price movements. Getting to know how Daqo New's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Daqo New may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ACLSAxcelis Technologies 3.05 11 per month 0.00 (0.23) 3.87 (5.16) 14.28 
KLICKulicke and Soffa(0.22)8 per month 2.06  0.06  4.38 (3.06) 11.34 
UCTTUltra Clean Holdings(0.86)10 per month 3.02  0.01  5.42 (5.21) 20.10 
COHUCohu Inc(1.25)9 per month 2.26 (0.01) 3.92 (3.97) 14.26 
ASYSAmtech Systems 0.13 7 per month 0.00 (0.05) 3.48 (4.31) 15.64 
AEHRAehr Test Systems 0.44 8 per month 4.47  0.05  8.93 (6.96) 34.55 
PLABPhotronics(1.49)5 per month 2.29  0.01  4.08 (4.10) 17.20 
LRCXLam Research Corp(0.12)7 per month 0.00 (0.05) 4.45 (3.90) 16.34 
KLACKLA Tencor(6.64)10 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.14 (3.68) 18.90 
INTTinTest 0.02 9 per month 3.13  0.04  6.08 (4.89) 13.69 
INDIindie Semiconductor(0.48)10 per month 5.46  0.05  8.43 (7.41) 83.44 
ENTGEntegris 0.66 11 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.99 (4.23) 12.62 
IPGPIPG Photonics 2.42 10 per month 2.00  0.02  4.86 (3.15) 11.69 
AMATApplied Materials(5.33)9 per month 0.00 (0.10) 3.50 (3.36) 16.93 
TERTeradyne 1.60 10 per month 0.00 (0.04) 3.37 (3.69) 16.20 
ONTOOnto Innovation 3.90 11 per month 0.00 (0.09) 4.50 (4.38) 20.62 

Daqo New Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Daqo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Daqo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Daqo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Daqo New Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Daqo New stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Daqo New Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Daqo New based on analysis of Daqo New hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Daqo New's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Daqo New's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Payables Turnover7.1414.6614.9311.22
Days Of Inventory On Hand205.7151.5445.640.07

Story Coverage note for Daqo New

The number of cover stories for Daqo New depends on current market conditions and Daqo New's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Daqo New is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Daqo New's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Daqo New Short Properties

Daqo New's future price predictability will typically decrease when Daqo New's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Daqo New Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Daqo New's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Daqo New's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding75 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

Additional Tools for Daqo Stock Analysis

When running Daqo New's price analysis, check to measure Daqo New's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Daqo New is operating at the current time. Most of Daqo New's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Daqo New's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Daqo New's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Daqo New to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.