Lam Research Corp Stock Price Prediction
| LRCX Stock | USD 71.57 1.12 1.54% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.284 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.84 | EPS Estimate Current Year 29.71 | EPS Estimate Next Year 36.28 | Wall Street Target Price 93.8475 |
Using Lam Research hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lam Research Corp from the perspective of Lam Research response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Lam Research Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Lam Research's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lam. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lam can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lam Research Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lam Research's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lam Research.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lam Research to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lam because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lam Research after-hype prediction price | USD 71.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lam Research's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lam Research After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lam Research at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lam Research or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lam Research, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lam Research Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lam Research's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lam Research's historical news coverage. Lam Research's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 68.56 and 74.20, respectively. We have considered Lam Research's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lam Research is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lam Research Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lam Research Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lam Research is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lam Research backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lam Research, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 2.81 | 0.27 | 0.19 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
71.57 | 71.38 | 0.27 |
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Lam Research Hype Timeline
Lam Research Corp is now traded for 71.57. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.27, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.19. Lam is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 71.38. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 175.62%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.27%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Lam Research is about 247.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 71.38. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.4. Lam Research Corp last dividend was issued on the 11th of December 2024. The entity had 10:1 split on the 3rd of October 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Lam Research Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lam Research Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lam Research's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lam Research's future price movements. Getting to know how Lam Research's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lam Research may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 2.63 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.76 | (5.38) | 22.75 | |
| KLAC | KLA Tencor | (9.48) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.24 | (3.70) | 20.36 | |
| ACLS | Axcelis Technologies | (1.40) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 3.87 | (5.37) | 14.28 | |
| TER | Teradyne | (0.66) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.37 | (3.69) | 16.20 | |
| AMAT | Applied Materials | 0.96 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.31 | (3.36) | 16.93 | |
| AEHR | Aehr Test Systems | (0.62) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.27 | (6.96) | 34.55 | |
| PLAB | Photronics | (0.29) | 6 per month | 2.28 | (0) | 3.86 | (3.85) | 11.66 | |
| KLIC | Kulicke and Soffa | (3.37) | 7 per month | 2.31 | 0.04 | 4.74 | (3.03) | 11.34 | |
| ENTG | Entegris | (0.18) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.08 | (4.09) | 12.71 | |
| IPGP | IPG Photonics | 1.04 | 10 per month | 1.84 | 0.02 | 4.46 | (3.32) | 11.69 |
Lam Research Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lam price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lam using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lam charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lam Research Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lam Research stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lam Research Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lam Research based on analysis of Lam Research hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lam Research's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lam Research's related companies. | 2018 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0108 | 0.007311 | 0.0133 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.82 | 9.35 | 9.82 |
Story Coverage note for Lam Research
The number of cover stories for Lam Research depends on current market conditions and Lam Research's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lam Research is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lam Research's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lam Research Short Properties
Lam Research's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lam Research's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lam Research Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lam Research's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lam Research's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.8 B |
Additional Tools for Lam Stock Analysis
When running Lam Research's price analysis, check to measure Lam Research's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lam Research is operating at the current time. Most of Lam Research's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lam Research's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lam Research's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lam Research to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.