Ferrexpo Plc Stock Price Prediction

FEEXF Stock  USD 1.42  0.02  1.39%   
As of 13th of December 2024, The relative strength index (RSI) of Ferrexpo PLC's share price is at 57. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ferrexpo PLC, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

57

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Ferrexpo PLC's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ferrexpo PLC and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ferrexpo PLC's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ferrexpo PLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Ferrexpo PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ferrexpo PLC from the perspective of Ferrexpo PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ferrexpo PLC to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ferrexpo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Ferrexpo PLC after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.44  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Ferrexpo PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ferrexpo PLC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.0811.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.041.7712.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.270.881.49
Details

Ferrexpo PLC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ferrexpo PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ferrexpo PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Ferrexpo PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ferrexpo PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ferrexpo PLC's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ferrexpo PLC's historical news coverage. Ferrexpo PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 11.95, respectively. We have considered Ferrexpo PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.42
1.44
After-hype Price
11.95
Upside
Ferrexpo PLC is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ferrexpo PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ferrexpo PLC Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ferrexpo PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ferrexpo PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ferrexpo PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.92 
10.51
 0.00  
  0.24 
0 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.42
1.44
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Ferrexpo PLC Hype Timeline

Ferrexpo PLC is currently traded for 1.42. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.24. Ferrexpo is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.92%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ferrexpo PLC is about 8548.8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.66. About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.72. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ferrexpo PLC has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.36. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of June 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Ferrexpo PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ferrexpo PLC Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ferrexpo PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ferrexpo PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Ferrexpo PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ferrexpo PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AMSYFArcelorMittal SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.05  0.98  0.00  15.16 
ANIOYAcerinox SA ADR 0.00 0 per month 1.55  0.01  3.56 (4.16) 17.16 
APEMYAperam PK 0.00 0 per month 2.29  0.06  5.00 (4.76) 16.16 
ASTLWAlgoma Steel Group 0.10 3 per month 0.00 (0.03) 6.40 (7.91) 30.04 
BLSFYBlueScope Steel Ltd 0.00 0 per month 2.38 (0.01) 4.32 (6.44) 23.52 
STZHFStelco Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.49 (0.03) 1.17 (0.97) 3.76 
SIMGrupo Simec SAB 0.97 6 per month 2.54 (0.03) 5.02 (5.26) 16.16 
TXTernium SA ADR 0.23 12 per month 1.86 (0.02) 3.08 (3.01) 9.40 
CIAFFChampion Iron Limited 0.00 0 per month 2.66  0.04  6.20 (4.83) 39.92 
PKXPOSCO Holdings(0.41)10 per month 0.00 (0.18) 4.63 (4.75) 10.53 
FRDFriedman Industries 0.40 6 per month 2.95  0.01  5.93 (4.84) 15.79 
SCHNSCHNITZER STEEL INDUSTRIES(0.91)3 per month 2.05  0  3.12 (3.33) 13.80 
USAPUniversal Stainless Alloy(0.46)9 per month 1.11  0.1  4.74 (2.67) 13.06 
ZEUSOlympic Steel 2.33 7 per month 2.18  0.02  4.04 (3.52) 14.88 
MTArcelorMittal SA ADR(0.21)12 per month 1.64  0.06  3.83 (3.01) 9.08 
GGBGerdau SA ADR 0.05 8 per month 1.77 (0.01) 3.49 (3.18) 16.52 
TMSTTMST Old 0.00 0 per month 1.46  0.11  4.81 (2.47) 13.11 

Ferrexpo PLC Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ferrexpo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ferrexpo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ferrexpo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Ferrexpo PLC Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Ferrexpo PLC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ferrexpo PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ferrexpo PLC based on analysis of Ferrexpo PLC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ferrexpo PLC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ferrexpo PLC's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Ferrexpo PLC

The number of cover stories for Ferrexpo PLC depends on current market conditions and Ferrexpo PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ferrexpo PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ferrexpo PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Ferrexpo PLC Short Properties

Ferrexpo PLC's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ferrexpo PLC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ferrexpo PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ferrexpo PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ferrexpo PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding588.6 M

Complementary Tools for Ferrexpo Pink Sheet analysis

When running Ferrexpo PLC's price analysis, check to measure Ferrexpo PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ferrexpo PLC is operating at the current time. Most of Ferrexpo PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ferrexpo PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ferrexpo PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ferrexpo PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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