Filinvest REIT (Philippines) Price Prediction
| FILRT Stock | 2.86 0.02 0.70% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Filinvest REIT hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Filinvest REIT Corp from the perspective of Filinvest REIT response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Filinvest REIT to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Filinvest because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Filinvest REIT after-hype prediction price | PHP 2.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Filinvest |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Filinvest REIT's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Filinvest REIT After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Filinvest REIT at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Filinvest REIT or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Filinvest REIT, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Filinvest REIT Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Filinvest REIT's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Filinvest REIT's historical news coverage. Filinvest REIT's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.58 and 4.14, respectively. We have considered Filinvest REIT's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Filinvest REIT is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Filinvest REIT Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Filinvest REIT Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Filinvest REIT is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Filinvest REIT backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Filinvest REIT, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.86 | 2.86 | 0.00 |
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Filinvest REIT Hype Timeline
Filinvest REIT Corp is currently traded for 2.86on Philippine Stock Exchange of Philippines. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Filinvest is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Filinvest REIT is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.86. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Filinvest REIT Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Filinvest REIT Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Filinvest REIT's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Filinvest REIT's future price movements. Getting to know how Filinvest REIT's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Filinvest REIT may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AREIT | AyalaLand REIT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.12 | (0.02) | 2.35 | (1.60) | 7.34 | |
| FILRT | Filinvest REIT Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.34 | (2.30) | 7.53 | |
| DDMPR | DDMP REIT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.85 | 0.05 | 1.98 | (1.92) | 4.00 | |
| CNPF | Century Pacific Food | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.73 | 0.07 | 3.00 | (2.53) | 11.57 | |
| RFM | RFM Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.97 | 0.06 | 2.37 | (2.19) | 5.27 | |
| PNB | Philippine National Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.35 | 0.06 | 2.44 | (2.36) | 16.68 | |
| LCB | Lepanto Consolidated Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.54 | 0.03 | 7.94 | (6.33) | 32.63 | |
| AXLM | Axelum Resources Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.13 | 0.06 | 6.12 | (4.00) | 18.35 | |
| MRSGI | Metro Retail Stores | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.11 | 0.01 | 2.56 | (1.67) | 7.61 | |
| ECP | Easycall Communications Philippines | 0.00 | 0 per month | 9.40 | 0.08 | 25.00 | (18.42) | 70.00 |
Filinvest REIT Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Filinvest price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Filinvest using various technical indicators. When you analyze Filinvest charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Filinvest REIT Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Filinvest REIT stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Filinvest REIT Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Filinvest REIT based on analysis of Filinvest REIT hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Filinvest REIT's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Filinvest REIT's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Filinvest REIT
The number of cover stories for Filinvest REIT depends on current market conditions and Filinvest REIT's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Filinvest REIT is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Filinvest REIT's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Filinvest REIT Short Properties
Filinvest REIT's future price predictability will typically decrease when Filinvest REIT's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Filinvest REIT Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Filinvest REIT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Filinvest REIT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.9 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.6 B |
Additional Tools for Filinvest Stock Analysis
When running Filinvest REIT's price analysis, check to measure Filinvest REIT's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Filinvest REIT is operating at the current time. Most of Filinvest REIT's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Filinvest REIT's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Filinvest REIT's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Filinvest REIT to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.