Goodfellow Stock Price Prediction
| GDL Stock | CAD 13.89 0.10 0.71% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.004 |
Using Goodfellow hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Goodfellow from the perspective of Goodfellow response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Goodfellow to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Goodfellow because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Goodfellow after-hype prediction price | CAD 13.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Goodfellow |
Goodfellow After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Goodfellow at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Goodfellow or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Goodfellow, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Goodfellow Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Goodfellow's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Goodfellow's historical news coverage. Goodfellow's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.99 and 15.75, respectively. We have considered Goodfellow's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Goodfellow is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Goodfellow is based on 3 months time horizon.
Goodfellow Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Goodfellow is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Goodfellow backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Goodfellow, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.88 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.89 | 13.87 | 0.14 |
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Goodfellow Hype Timeline
Goodfellow is currently traded for 13.89on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Goodfellow is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 13.87. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Goodfellow is about 665.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.87. About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.59. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Goodfellow last dividend was issued on the 23rd of October 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 17th of January 2007. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Goodfellow Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Goodfellow Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Goodfellow's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Goodfellow's future price movements. Getting to know how Goodfellow's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Goodfellow may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IFP | Interfor Corp | 0.13 | 2 per month | 1.76 | 0.06 | 4.62 | (3.26) | 12.77 | |
| CFP | Canfor | (0.64) | 2 per month | 1.47 | 0.05 | 4.48 | (2.59) | 10.80 | |
| SJ | Stella Jones | (0.55) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.50 | (2.36) | 17.72 | |
| WEF | Western Forest Products | (0.07) | 2 per month | 3.36 | (0.02) | 6.00 | (6.12) | 20.91 |
Goodfellow Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Goodfellow price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Goodfellow using various technical indicators. When you analyze Goodfellow charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Goodfellow Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Goodfellow stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Goodfellow, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Goodfellow based on analysis of Goodfellow hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Goodfellow's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Goodfellow's related companies. | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0711 | 0.035 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.23 | 0.12 |
Story Coverage note for Goodfellow
The number of cover stories for Goodfellow depends on current market conditions and Goodfellow's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Goodfellow is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Goodfellow's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Goodfellow Short Properties
Goodfellow's future price predictability will typically decrease when Goodfellow's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Goodfellow often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Goodfellow's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Goodfellow's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 28.4 M |
Other Information on Investing in Goodfellow Stock
Goodfellow financial ratios help investors to determine whether Goodfellow Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Goodfellow with respect to the benefits of owning Goodfellow security.