Headwater Exploration Stock Price Prediction
| HWX Stock | CAD 6.88 0.01 0.15% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.925 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.075 | Wall Street Target Price 9.3929 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.34 |
Using Headwater Exploration hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Headwater Exploration from the perspective of Headwater Exploration response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Headwater Exploration to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Headwater because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Headwater Exploration after-hype prediction price | CAD 6.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Headwater |
Headwater Exploration After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Headwater Exploration at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Headwater Exploration or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Headwater Exploration, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Headwater Exploration Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Headwater Exploration's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Headwater Exploration's historical news coverage. Headwater Exploration's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.16 and 8.62, respectively. We have considered Headwater Exploration's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Headwater Exploration is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Headwater Exploration is based on 3 months time horizon.
Headwater Exploration Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Headwater Exploration is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Headwater Exploration backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Headwater Exploration, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.73 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.88 | 6.89 | 0.15 |
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Headwater Exploration Hype Timeline
Headwater Exploration is currently traded for 6.88on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Headwater is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.89 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Headwater Exploration is about 2562.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.87. The company reported the revenue of 425.55 M. Net Income was 156.07 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 297 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Headwater Exploration Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Headwater Exploration Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Headwater Exploration's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Headwater Exploration's future price movements. Getting to know how Headwater Exploration's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Headwater Exploration may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TVE | Tamarack Valley Energy | 0.04 | 2 per month | 2.39 | 0.03 | 3.16 | (3.54) | 10.36 | |
| GXE | Gear Energy | (0.02) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.85 | (4.84) | 12.23 | |
| CJ | Cardinal Energy | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.44 | (2.20) | 4.50 | |
| NVA | NuVista Energy | (0.28) | 1 per month | 1.99 | (0) | 3.89 | (3.37) | 9.62 |
Headwater Exploration Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Headwater price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Headwater using various technical indicators. When you analyze Headwater charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Headwater Exploration Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Headwater Exploration stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Headwater Exploration, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Headwater Exploration based on analysis of Headwater Exploration hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Headwater Exploration's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Headwater Exploration's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0576 | 0.0511 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.46 | 3.29 |
Story Coverage note for Headwater Exploration
The number of cover stories for Headwater Exploration depends on current market conditions and Headwater Exploration's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Headwater Exploration is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Headwater Exploration's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Headwater Exploration Short Properties
Headwater Exploration's future price predictability will typically decrease when Headwater Exploration's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Headwater Exploration often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Headwater Exploration's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Headwater Exploration's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 237.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 146.4 M |
Other Information on Investing in Headwater Stock
Headwater Exploration financial ratios help investors to determine whether Headwater Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Headwater with respect to the benefits of owning Headwater Exploration security.