Intercorp Financial Services Stock Price Prediction

IFS Stock  USD 29.04  0.10  0.35%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Intercorp Financial's stock price is slightly above 63. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Intercorp, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

63

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Intercorp Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Intercorp Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Intercorp Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Intercorp Financial Services, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Intercorp Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.005
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.94
EPS Estimate Current Year
11.0105
EPS Estimate Next Year
15.952
Wall Street Target Price
35.6718
Using Intercorp Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Intercorp Financial Services from the perspective of Intercorp Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Intercorp Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Intercorp because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Intercorp Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 28.97  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Intercorp Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.1431.8633.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.7229.0330.35
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
27.5130.2333.56
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.652.752.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Intercorp Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Intercorp Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Intercorp Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Intercorp Financial.

Intercorp Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Intercorp Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Intercorp Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Intercorp Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Intercorp Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Intercorp Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Intercorp Financial's historical news coverage. Intercorp Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.66 and 30.28, respectively. We have considered Intercorp Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
29.04
28.97
After-hype Price
30.28
Upside
Intercorp Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Intercorp Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Intercorp Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Intercorp Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Intercorp Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Intercorp Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.25 
1.31
  0.07 
  0.05 
9 Events / Month
12 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
29.04
28.97
0.24 
503.85  
Notes

Intercorp Financial Hype Timeline

On the 21st of December Intercorp Financial is traded for 29.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Intercorp is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 28.97. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.24%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Intercorp Financial is about 668.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.99. About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.21. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Intercorp Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.85. The entity last dividend was issued on the 17th of April 2024. The firm had 16:1 split on the 6th of May 2009. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Intercorp Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Intercorp Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Intercorp Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Intercorp Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Intercorp Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Intercorp Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BCHBanco De Chile(0.14)11 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.96 (2.35) 6.77 
CIBBancolombia SA ADR 0.89 6 per month 1.58  0.01  2.87 (2.25) 8.05 
BLXForeign Trade Bank(0.36)7 per month 1.11  0.1  3.02 (1.68) 8.68 
BANFBancFirst(1.22)12 per month 1.79  0.05  3.22 (2.95) 20.82 
HVBCHV Bancorp(0.52)3 per month 2.03  0.13  2.68 (4.11) 18.63 
HMNFHMN Financial(0.15)6 per month 1.85  0.15  4.29 (3.19) 13.15 
MGYRMagyar Bancorp 0.01 7 per month 0.86  0.17  2.61 (2.00) 10.51 
OFEDOconee Federal Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.48 (5.28) 12.66 
CULLCullman Bancorp 0.01 7 per month 0.00 (0.17) 1.18 (1.64) 4.73 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp 0.39 5 per month 2.51  0.01  4.70 (4.49) 17.43 
LSBKLake Shore Bancorp(0.48)4 per month 1.62  0.06  3.69 (3.49) 11.07 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.31)9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.53 (2.35) 11.26 
FCCOFirst Community(0.03)9 per month 1.56  0.04  2.69 (2.28) 14.28 
OPOFOld Point Financial(0.04)3 per month 1.25  0.28  3.54 (1.47) 11.54 
OVLYOak Valley Bancorp(0.64)4 per month 2.13 (0) 3.75 (2.48) 14.90 
CHMGChemung Financial Corp(0.36)9 per month 1.12  0.02  2.06 (2.03) 11.96 
HBCPHome Bancorp(0.38)9 per month 1.95  0.02  3.35 (3.12) 14.40 

Intercorp Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Intercorp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Intercorp using various technical indicators. When you analyze Intercorp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Intercorp Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Intercorp Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Intercorp Financial Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Intercorp Financial based on analysis of Intercorp Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Intercorp Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Intercorp Financial's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.05220.07290.05460.0298
Price To Sales Ratio2.041.592.294.19

Story Coverage note for Intercorp Financial

The number of cover stories for Intercorp Financial depends on current market conditions and Intercorp Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Intercorp Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Intercorp Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Intercorp Financial Short Properties

Intercorp Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Intercorp Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Intercorp Financial Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Intercorp Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intercorp Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding115 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.5 B

Additional Tools for Intercorp Stock Analysis

When running Intercorp Financial's price analysis, check to measure Intercorp Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intercorp Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Intercorp Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intercorp Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intercorp Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intercorp Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.