IMPERIAL TOBACCO (Germany) Price Prediction
| ITB Stock | EUR 30.79 0.32 1.03% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
63
Oversold | Overbought |
Using IMPERIAL TOBACCO hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of IMPERIAL TOBACCO from the perspective of IMPERIAL TOBACCO response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in IMPERIAL TOBACCO to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying IMPERIAL because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
IMPERIAL TOBACCO after-hype prediction price | EUR 30.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
IMPERIAL |
IMPERIAL TOBACCO After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of IMPERIAL TOBACCO at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IMPERIAL TOBACCO or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of IMPERIAL TOBACCO, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
IMPERIAL TOBACCO Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting IMPERIAL TOBACCO's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IMPERIAL TOBACCO's historical news coverage. IMPERIAL TOBACCO's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.55 and 32.03, respectively. We have considered IMPERIAL TOBACCO's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
IMPERIAL TOBACCO is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of IMPERIAL TOBACCO is based on 3 months time horizon.
IMPERIAL TOBACCO Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as IMPERIAL TOBACCO is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IMPERIAL TOBACCO backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IMPERIAL TOBACCO, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 1.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
30.79 | 30.79 | 0.00 |
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IMPERIAL TOBACCO Hype Timeline
IMPERIAL TOBACCO is currently traded for 30.79on Dusseldorf Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. IMPERIAL is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on IMPERIAL TOBACCO is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.79. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.7. IMPERIAL TOBACCO last dividend was issued on the 21st of February 1970. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out IMPERIAL TOBACCO Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.IMPERIAL TOBACCO Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to IMPERIAL TOBACCO's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IMPERIAL TOBACCO's future price movements. Getting to know how IMPERIAL TOBACCO's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IMPERIAL TOBACCO may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 6GC | Gamma Communications plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.25 | 0.01 | 2.56 | (2.04) | 16.76 | |
| 1WT | WisdomTree Investments | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.42 | 0.09 | 5.41 | (4.20) | 14.93 | |
| DNN | Strategic Investments AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.72 | (0.01) | 7.14 | (7.14) | 35.58 | |
| 4I3 | ECHO INVESTMENT ZY | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.08 | (0.01) | 3.09 | (2.88) | 9.10 | |
| CQD | Charter Communications | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.89 | 0.05 | 5.22 | (3.12) | 19.48 | |
| 14N1 | New Residential Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.05 | (0.10) | 2.08 | (1.63) | 6.16 | |
| N4Q1 | Hemisphere Energy Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.68 | (0) | 3.88 | (3.10) | 9.39 | |
| VIP | Virtus Investment Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | 0.11 | 4.50 | (2.70) | 11.31 |
IMPERIAL TOBACCO Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine IMPERIAL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IMPERIAL using various technical indicators. When you analyze IMPERIAL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About IMPERIAL TOBACCO Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of IMPERIAL TOBACCO stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as IMPERIAL TOBACCO , already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of IMPERIAL TOBACCO based on analysis of IMPERIAL TOBACCO hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to IMPERIAL TOBACCO's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to IMPERIAL TOBACCO's related companies.
Story Coverage note for IMPERIAL TOBACCO
The number of cover stories for IMPERIAL TOBACCO depends on current market conditions and IMPERIAL TOBACCO's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that IMPERIAL TOBACCO is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about IMPERIAL TOBACCO's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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IMPERIAL TOBACCO Short Properties
IMPERIAL TOBACCO's future price predictability will typically decrease when IMPERIAL TOBACCO's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of IMPERIAL TOBACCO often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential IMPERIAL TOBACCO's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IMPERIAL TOBACCO's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 950.4 M | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0755 | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 1 B |
Additional Tools for IMPERIAL Stock Analysis
When running IMPERIAL TOBACCO's price analysis, check to measure IMPERIAL TOBACCO's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IMPERIAL TOBACCO is operating at the current time. Most of IMPERIAL TOBACCO's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IMPERIAL TOBACCO's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IMPERIAL TOBACCO's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IMPERIAL TOBACCO to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.