Kenon Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| KEN Stock | USD 29.85 0.47 1.60% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
64
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.348 | Wall Street Target Price 29.85 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.097 |
Using Kenon Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kenon Holdings from the perspective of Kenon Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kenon Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kenon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Kenon Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 29.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Kenon |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kenon Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kenon Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kenon Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kenon Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kenon Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kenon Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kenon Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kenon Holdings' historical news coverage. Kenon Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.08 and 31.62, respectively. We have considered Kenon Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kenon Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kenon Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kenon Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kenon Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kenon Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kenon Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 1.77 | 0.04 | 0.36 | 4 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
29.85 | 29.85 | 0.00 |
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Kenon Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of December Kenon Holdings is traded for 29.85. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.36. Kenon is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kenon Holdings is about 158.51%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.49. About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.41. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kenon Holdings recorded a loss per share of 1.44. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of April 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Kenon Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Kenon Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kenon Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kenon Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Kenon Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kenon Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VST | Vistra Energy Corp | (6.75) | 8 per month | 3.17 | 0.23 | 6.32 | (5.00) | 22.81 | |
| PAM | Pampa Energia SA | 1.20 | 12 per month | 0.90 | 0.33 | 3.57 | (2.35) | 8.23 | |
| NRG | NRG Energy | (0.91) | 10 per month | 2.12 | 0.10 | 3.63 | (3.78) | 12.36 | |
| TAC | TransAlta Corp | (0.24) | 8 per month | 1.28 | 0.13 | 4.08 | (2.07) | 13.41 | |
| AGLXY | AGL Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.35 | (0.04) | 5.24 | (5.33) | 16.34 | |
| DIPGF | Datang International Power | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00 | (5.00) | 31.25 |
Kenon Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kenon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kenon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kenon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Kenon Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Kenon Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kenon Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kenon Holdings based on analysis of Kenon Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kenon Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kenon Holdings's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0354 | 0.42 | 0.11 | 0.17 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.8 | 3.1 | 1.96 | 1.86 |
Story Coverage note for Kenon Holdings
The number of cover stories for Kenon Holdings depends on current market conditions and Kenon Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kenon Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kenon Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kenon Holdings Short Properties
Kenon Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Kenon Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kenon Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kenon Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kenon Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 912.6 M |
Check out Kenon Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Kenon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Kenon Holdings guide.You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kenon Holdings. If investors know Kenon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kenon Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.348 | Earnings Share (1.44) | Revenue Per Share 13.743 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.097 | Return On Assets 0.0088 |
The market value of Kenon Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kenon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kenon Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kenon Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kenon Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kenon Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kenon Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kenon Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kenon Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.