Miniso Group Holding Stock Price Prediction
| MNSO Stock | USD 24.06 1.07 4.26% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
62
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.103 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.34 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.8551 | EPS Estimate Next Year 10.9271 | Wall Street Target Price 24.5101 |
Using Miniso Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Miniso Group Holding from the perspective of Miniso Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Miniso Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Miniso because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Miniso Group after-hype prediction price | USD 23.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Miniso |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Miniso Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Miniso Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Miniso Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Miniso Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Miniso Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Miniso Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Miniso Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Miniso Group's historical news coverage. Miniso Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.16 and 28.60, respectively. We have considered Miniso Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Miniso Group is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Miniso Group Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Miniso Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Miniso Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Miniso Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Miniso Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.60 | 4.72 | 0.18 | 0.42 | 9 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
24.06 | 23.88 | 0.75 |
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Miniso Group Hype Timeline
Miniso Group Holding is now traded for 24.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.42. Miniso is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 23.88. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.75%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.6%. The volatility of related hype on Miniso Group is about 676.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.48. The company last dividend was issued on the 13th of September 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Miniso Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Miniso Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Miniso Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Miniso Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Miniso Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Miniso Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PDD | PDD Holdings | 2.06 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.85 | (5.75) | 24.21 | |
| SE | Sea | 1.71 | 9 per month | 1.46 | 0.09 | 4.17 | (2.83) | 14.60 | |
| W | Wayfair | (1.22) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.72 | (6.26) | 19.49 | |
| CHWY | Chewy Inc | 0.24 | 10 per month | 2.22 | 0.08 | 5.10 | (3.45) | 16.46 |
Miniso Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Miniso price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Miniso using various technical indicators. When you analyze Miniso charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Miniso Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Miniso Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Miniso Group Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Miniso Group based on analysis of Miniso Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Miniso Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Miniso Group's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.009664 | 0.0491 | 0.0515 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.34 | 2.96 | 3.7 |
Story Coverage note for Miniso Group
The number of cover stories for Miniso Group depends on current market conditions and Miniso Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Miniso Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Miniso Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Miniso Group Short Properties
Miniso Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Miniso Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Miniso Group Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Miniso Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Miniso Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 312.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.9 B |
Check out Miniso Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Broadline Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Miniso Group. If investors know Miniso will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Miniso Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.103 | Earnings Share 0.99 | Revenue Per Share 44.47 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.241 | Return On Assets 0.131 |
The market value of Miniso Group Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Miniso that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Miniso Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Miniso Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Miniso Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Miniso Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Miniso Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Miniso Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Miniso Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.