Aurubis AG (Germany) Price Prediction
| NDA Stock | 77.90 1.70 2.14% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
68
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Aurubis AG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aurubis AG from the perspective of Aurubis AG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aurubis AG to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aurubis because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Aurubis AG after-hype prediction price | EUR 77.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Aurubis |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aurubis AG's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aurubis AG After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aurubis AG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aurubis AG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aurubis AG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aurubis AG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aurubis AG's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aurubis AG's historical news coverage. Aurubis AG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 75.29 and 80.51, respectively. We have considered Aurubis AG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aurubis AG is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aurubis AG is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aurubis AG Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aurubis AG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aurubis AG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aurubis AG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 2.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
77.90 | 77.90 | 0.00 |
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Aurubis AG Hype Timeline
Aurubis AG is now traded for 77.90on XETRA Stock Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Aurubis is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.38%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aurubis AG is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 77.90. About 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.86. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Aurubis AG recorded earning per share (EPS) of 15.72. The entity last dividend was issued on the 17th of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Aurubis AG Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Aurubis AG Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aurubis AG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aurubis AG's future price movements. Getting to know how Aurubis AG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aurubis AG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PCU | Southern Copper | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 4.04 | (3.50) | 18.01 | |
| GXD | Lundin Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.83 | (4.19) | 10.52 |
Aurubis AG Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aurubis price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aurubis using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aurubis charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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About Aurubis AG Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Aurubis AG stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aurubis AG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aurubis AG based on analysis of Aurubis AG hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aurubis AG's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aurubis AG's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Aurubis AG
The number of cover stories for Aurubis AG depends on current market conditions and Aurubis AG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aurubis AG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aurubis AG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Aurubis AG Short Properties
Aurubis AG's future price predictability will typically decrease when Aurubis AG's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aurubis AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aurubis AG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aurubis AG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 766.4 M |
Additional Tools for Aurubis Stock Analysis
When running Aurubis AG's price analysis, check to measure Aurubis AG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aurubis AG is operating at the current time. Most of Aurubis AG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aurubis AG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aurubis AG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aurubis AG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.