Phoslock Environmental (Australia) Price Prediction

PET Stock   0.03  0.00  0.00%   
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Phoslock Environmental's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

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Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Phoslock Environmental's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Phoslock Environmental Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Phoslock Environmental's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.20)
Using Phoslock Environmental hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Phoslock Environmental Technologies from the perspective of Phoslock Environmental response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Phoslock Environmental to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Phoslock because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Phoslock Environmental after-hype prediction price

    
  AUD 0.025  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Phoslock Environmental Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.020.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.030.030.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.030.030.03
Details

Phoslock Environmental After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Phoslock Environmental at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Phoslock Environmental or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Phoslock Environmental, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Phoslock Environmental Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Phoslock Environmental's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Phoslock Environmental's historical news coverage. Phoslock Environmental's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 0.03, respectively. We have considered Phoslock Environmental's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.03
0.03
After-hype Price
0.03
Upside
Phoslock Environmental is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Phoslock Environmental is based on 3 months time horizon.

Phoslock Environmental Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Phoslock Environmental is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Phoslock Environmental backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Phoslock Environmental, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.03
0.03
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Phoslock Environmental Hype Timeline

Phoslock Environmental is at this time traded for 0.03on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Phoslock is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Phoslock Environmental is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.03. About 26.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.64. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Phoslock Environmental recorded a loss per share of 0.02. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of October 2019. The firm had 201:200 split on the 19th of September 2019. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be very soon.
Check out Phoslock Environmental Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Phoslock Environmental Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Phoslock Environmental's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Phoslock Environmental's future price movements. Getting to know how Phoslock Environmental's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Phoslock Environmental may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Phoslock Environmental Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Phoslock price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Phoslock using various technical indicators. When you analyze Phoslock charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Phoslock Environmental Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Phoslock Environmental stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Phoslock Environmental Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Phoslock Environmental based on analysis of Phoslock Environmental hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Phoslock Environmental's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Phoslock Environmental's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Phoslock Environmental

The number of cover stories for Phoslock Environmental depends on current market conditions and Phoslock Environmental's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Phoslock Environmental is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Phoslock Environmental's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Phoslock Environmental Short Properties

Phoslock Environmental's future price predictability will typically decrease when Phoslock Environmental's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Phoslock Environmental Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Phoslock Environmental's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Phoslock Environmental's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding624.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments10.7 M

Additional Tools for Phoslock Stock Analysis

When running Phoslock Environmental's price analysis, check to measure Phoslock Environmental's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Phoslock Environmental is operating at the current time. Most of Phoslock Environmental's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Phoslock Environmental's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Phoslock Environmental's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Phoslock Environmental to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.