Invesco Low Volatility Fund Price Prediction

SCAYX Fund  USD 11.43  0.10  0.87%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Invesco Low's mutual fund price is slightly above 66. This usually implies that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Invesco, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

66

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Invesco Low's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Invesco Low Volatility, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Invesco Low hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Invesco Low Volatility from the perspective of Invesco Low response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Invesco Low to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Invesco because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Invesco Low after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.43  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Invesco Low Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Low's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.9311.4011.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.9011.3711.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.4011.4711.55
Details

Invesco Low After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Invesco Low at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Invesco Low or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Invesco Low, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Invesco Low Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Invesco Low's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Invesco Low's historical news coverage. Invesco Low's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.96 and 11.90, respectively. We have considered Invesco Low's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.43
11.43
After-hype Price
11.90
Upside
Invesco Low is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Invesco Low Volatility is based on 3 months time horizon.

Invesco Low Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Invesco Low is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Invesco Low backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Invesco Low, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07 
0.47
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.43
11.43
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Invesco Low Hype Timeline

Invesco Low Volatility is at this time traded for 11.43. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Invesco is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Invesco Low is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.43. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.8. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week.
Check out Invesco Low Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Invesco Low Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Invesco Low's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Invesco Low's future price movements. Getting to know how Invesco Low's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Invesco Low may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Invesco Low Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Invesco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Invesco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Invesco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Invesco Low Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Invesco Low stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Invesco Low Volatility, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Invesco Low based on analysis of Invesco Low hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Invesco Low's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Invesco Low's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Invesco Low

The number of cover stories for Invesco Low depends on current market conditions and Invesco Low's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Invesco Low is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Invesco Low's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund

Invesco Low financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Low security.
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