St Bancorp Stock Price Prediction

STBA Stock  USD 43.29  0.51  1.19%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of ST Bancorp's stock price is about 60. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling STBA, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

60

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ST Bancorp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ST Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting ST Bancorp's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.02)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.78
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.356
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.036
Wall Street Target Price
42
Using ST Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ST Bancorp from the perspective of ST Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ST Bancorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying STBA because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

ST Bancorp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 43.55  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out ST Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade STBA Stock refer to our How to Trade STBA Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.2335.6647.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.4241.8544.29
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
26.6229.2532.47
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.830.840.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ST Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ST Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ST Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ST Bancorp.

ST Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ST Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ST Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ST Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

ST Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting ST Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ST Bancorp's historical news coverage. ST Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 41.12 and 45.98, respectively. We have considered ST Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
43.29
43.55
After-hype Price
45.98
Upside
ST Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ST Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.

ST Bancorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ST Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ST Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ST Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
2.43
  0.17 
  0.01 
10 Events / Month
13 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
43.29
43.55
0.60 
112.50  
Notes

ST Bancorp Hype Timeline

ST Bancorp is at this time traded for 43.29. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. STBA is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 43.55 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 112.5%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.6%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on ST Bancorp is about 2592.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 43.28. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 389.14 M. Net Income was 144.78 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 365.68 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out ST Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade STBA Stock refer to our How to Trade STBA Stock guide.

ST Bancorp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to ST Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ST Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how ST Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ST Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CFBCrossFirst Bankshares 0.05 10 per month 1.62 (0.03) 3.51 (2.91) 18.20 
EFSCEnterprise Financial Services(0.94)10 per month 1.40  0.07  2.99 (2.69) 19.91 
FBMSThe First Bancshares,(1.29)8 per month 1.47  0.06  3.88 (3.51) 16.66 
FBPFirst Bancorp(0.04)8 per month 2.05 (0.03) 2.82 (3.53) 19.73 
HBCPHome Bancorp(0.68)10 per month 1.60  0.09  3.67 (2.15) 10.26 
HFWAHeritage Financial(0.27)7 per month 1.53  0.08  2.91 (2.17) 19.67 
FNWBFirst Northwest Bancorp(0.25)9 per month 1.73 (0.04) 3.17 (2.82) 14.21 
HTBIHomeTrust Bancshares(0.68)6 per month 1.66  0.01  2.87 (3.47) 18.54 
LSBKLake Shore Bancorp 0.00 6 per month 1.35 (0.01) 3.69 (3.23) 8.64 
FCCOFirst Community 1.72 8 per month 0.96  0.11  3.05 (2.20) 10.76 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.08)8 per month 1.15  0  2.53 (2.16) 9.14 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest 0.15 7 per month 0.00 (0.17) 1.36 (1.20) 4.32 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp 0.00 4 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.75 (4.31) 17.43 
FCAPFirst Capital 0.55 7 per month 1.90 (0.04) 6.30 (3.53) 14.42 
CIVBCivista Bancshares(0.23)8 per month 0.90  0.19  3.67 (1.94) 10.55 
FNWDFinward Bancorp 0.49 7 per month 0.84  0.03  2.57 (1.90) 12.55 

ST Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine STBA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for STBA using various technical indicators. When you analyze STBA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About ST Bancorp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of ST Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ST Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ST Bancorp based on analysis of ST Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ST Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ST Bancorp's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0360.03520.03870.0255
Price To Sales Ratio3.613.563.33.14

Story Coverage note for ST Bancorp

The number of cover stories for ST Bancorp depends on current market conditions and ST Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ST Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ST Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

ST Bancorp Short Properties

ST Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when ST Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ST Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ST Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ST Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding38.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments233.6 M

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When running ST Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure ST Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ST Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of ST Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ST Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ST Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ST Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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