Main Thematic Innovation Etf Price Prediction
| TMAT Etf | USD 21.56 0.18 0.84% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
74
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Main Thematic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Main Thematic Innovation from the perspective of Main Thematic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Main Thematic to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Main because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Main Thematic after-hype prediction price | USD 21.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Main Thematic After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Main Thematic at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Main Thematic or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Main Thematic, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Main Thematic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Main Thematic's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Main Thematic's historical news coverage. Main Thematic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.11 and 22.87, respectively. We have considered Main Thematic's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Main Thematic is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Main Thematic Innovation is based on 3 months time horizon.
Main Thematic Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Main Thematic is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Main Thematic backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Main Thematic, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 1.37 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
21.56 | 21.49 | 0.32 |
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Main Thematic Hype Timeline
Main Thematic Innovation is at this time traded for 21.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Main is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 21.49. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.32%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Main Thematic is about 4892.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.55. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Main Thematic Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Main Thematic Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Main Thematic's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Main Thematic's future price movements. Getting to know how Main Thematic's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Main Thematic may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PBD | Invesco Global Clean | 0.05 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.08 | (2.49) | 9.68 | |
| CTEC | Global X CleanTech | 0.07 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.38 | (3.74) | 12.50 | |
| TMAT | Main Thematic Innovation | (0.20) | 1 per month | 0.93 | 0.22 | 2.32 | (2.01) | 6.16 | |
| FORH | Formidable ETF | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.32 | (1.02) | 3.48 | |
| SAGP | The Advisorsa Inner | (0.07) | 1 per month | 0.64 | (0.09) | 1.12 | (0.90) | 2.99 |
Main Thematic Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Main price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Main using various technical indicators. When you analyze Main charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Main Thematic Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Main Thematic stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Main Thematic Innovation, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Main Thematic based on analysis of Main Thematic hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Main Thematic's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Main Thematic's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Main Thematic
The number of cover stories for Main Thematic depends on current market conditions and Main Thematic's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Main Thematic is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Main Thematic's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Main Thematic Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
The market value of Main Thematic Innovation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Main that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Main Thematic's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Main Thematic's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Main Thematic's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Main Thematic's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Main Thematic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Main Thematic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Main Thematic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.