Thai Oil (Thailand) Price Prediction
| TOP-R Stock | THB 38.50 0.00 0.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
40
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Thai Oil hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Thai Oil Public from the perspective of Thai Oil response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Thai Oil to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Thai because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Thai Oil after-hype prediction price | THB 38.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Thai |
Thai Oil After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Thai Oil at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Thai Oil or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Thai Oil, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Thai Oil Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Thai Oil's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Thai Oil's historical news coverage. Thai Oil's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.93 and 3,888, respectively. We have considered Thai Oil's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Thai Oil is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Thai Oil Public is based on 3 months time horizon.
Thai Oil Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Thai Oil is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Thai Oil backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Thai Oil, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
14.72 | 130.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
38.50 | 38.50 | 0.00 |
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Thai Oil Hype Timeline
Thai Oil Public is at this time traded for 38.50on Thailand Exchange of Thailand. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Thai is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 14.72%. %. The volatility of related hype on Thai Oil is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.50. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.8. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Thai Oil Public recorded earning per share (EPS) of 15.63. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Thai Oil Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Thai Oil Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Thai Oil's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Thai Oil's future price movements. Getting to know how Thai Oil's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Thai Oil may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OR | PTT Oil and | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.82 | (3.23) | 9.78 | |
| TOP | Thai Oil Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 2.84 | (3.21) | 12.78 | |
| IRPC | IRPC Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.21 | (4.24) | 19.84 | |
| SPRC | Star Petroleum Refining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.75 | (0.04) | 3.65 | (3.05) | 9.63 | |
| BCP | Bangchak Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.27 | (3.91) | 11.12 |
Thai Oil Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Thai price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Thai using various technical indicators. When you analyze Thai charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Thai Oil Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Thai Oil stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Thai Oil Public, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Thai Oil based on analysis of Thai Oil hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Thai Oil's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Thai Oil's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Thai Oil
The number of cover stories for Thai Oil depends on current market conditions and Thai Oil's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Thai Oil is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Thai Oil's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Thai Oil Short Properties
Thai Oil's future price predictability will typically decrease when Thai Oil's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Thai Oil Public often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Thai Oil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thai Oil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.2 B |
Complementary Tools for Thai Stock analysis
When running Thai Oil's price analysis, check to measure Thai Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Thai Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Thai Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Thai Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Thai Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Thai Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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