Toys R (Australia) Price Prediction
| TOY Stock | 0.05 0 1.96% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
28
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 0.13 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.54) |
Using Toys R hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Toys R Us from the perspective of Toys R response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Toys R to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Toys because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Toys R after-hype prediction price | AUD 0.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Toys |
Toys R After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Toys R at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Toys R or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Toys R, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Toys R Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Toys R's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Toys R's historical news coverage. Toys R's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 4.25, respectively. We have considered Toys R's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Toys R is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Toys R Us is based on 3 months time horizon.
Toys R Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Toys R is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Toys R backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Toys R, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.50 | 4.18 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.05 | 0.05 | 1.96 |
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Toys R Hype Timeline
Toys R Us is at this time traded for 0.05on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.15. Toys is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.05. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -1.96%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.5%. The volatility of related hype on Toys R is about 1393.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.1. About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.48. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Toys R Us recorded a loss per share of 0.11. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2013. The firm had 1:10 split on the 28th of May 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be very soon. Check out Toys R Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Toys R Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Toys R's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Toys R's future price movements. Getting to know how Toys R's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Toys R may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ATM | Aneka Tambang Tbk | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.11 | (0.97) | 16.07 | |
| URW | Unibail Rodamco Westfield SE | (0.04) | 1 per month | 1.34 | (0.02) | 2.37 | (2.04) | 6.80 | |
| MQG | Macquarie Group | 1.50 | 3 per month | 1.11 | 0.02 | 1.70 | (1.83) | 5.96 | |
| CBA | Commonwealth Bank | 0.89 | 3 per month | 1.38 | 0.07 | 1.79 | (2.30) | 5.70 | |
| CBAPH | Commonwealth Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CBAPJ | Commonwealth Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.34 | (0.20) | 0.73 | (0.59) | 2.02 | |
| CBAPK | Commonwealth Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.38 | (0.24) | 0.62 | (0.69) | 2.27 | |
| CSL | CSL | (4.75) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.55 | (1.86) | 4.49 |
Toys R Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Toys price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Toys using various technical indicators. When you analyze Toys charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Toys R Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Toys R stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Toys R Us, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Toys R based on analysis of Toys R hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Toys R's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Toys R's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Toys R
The number of cover stories for Toys R depends on current market conditions and Toys R's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Toys R is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Toys R's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Toys R Short Properties
Toys R's future price predictability will typically decrease when Toys R's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Toys R Us often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Toys R's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Toys R's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 863 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 M |
Additional Tools for Toys Stock Analysis
When running Toys R's price analysis, check to measure Toys R's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Toys R is operating at the current time. Most of Toys R's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Toys R's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Toys R's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Toys R to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.