KEYCORP MTN Price Prediction
| 49326EEJ8 | 74.70 14.23 16.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Using KEYCORP hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KEYCORP MTN from the perspective of KEYCORP response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in KEYCORP to buy its bond at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying KEYCORP because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell bonds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
KEYCORP after-hype prediction price | $ 74.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as bond price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
KEYCORP |
KEYCORP After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of KEYCORP at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in KEYCORP or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Bond prices, such as prices of KEYCORP, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
KEYCORP Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting KEYCORP's bond value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on KEYCORP's historical news coverage. KEYCORP's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 72.49 and 76.91, respectively. We have considered KEYCORP's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
KEYCORP is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of KEYCORP MTN is based on 3 months time horizon.
KEYCORP Bond Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Corporate Bond such as KEYCORP is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading KEYCORP backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Bond price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with KEYCORP, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 2.23 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
74.70 | 74.70 | 0.00 |
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KEYCORP Hype Timeline
KEYCORP MTN is at this time traded for 74.70. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.06. KEYCORP is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on KEYCORP is about 644.51%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 74.64. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out KEYCORP Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade KEYCORP Bond refer to our How to Trade KEYCORP Bond guide.KEYCORP Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to KEYCORP's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict KEYCORP's future price movements. Getting to know how KEYCORP's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how KEYCORP may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 00108WAF7 | AEP TEX INC | 0.45 | 17 per month | 1.90 | 0.04 | 5.71 | (2.57) | 13.40 | |
| 90331HPL1 | US BANK NATIONAL | (0.19) | 24 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.39 | (1.70) | 7.15 | |
| NTRA | Natera Inc | (5.61) | 10 per month | 2.44 | 0.11 | 3.57 | (3.67) | 26.87 | |
| M | Macys Inc | (0.03) | 6 per month | 1.79 | 0.04 | 4.01 | (2.75) | 13.44 | |
| 784730AB9 | US784730AB94 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.84 | 0.08 | 1.32 | (1.34) | 42.53 | |
| CIADY | China Mengniu Dairy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.23 | 0.10 | 10.52 | (6.20) | 33.77 | |
| LIEN | Chicago Atlantic BDC, | (0.01) | 4 per month | 1.01 | 0.07 | 3.29 | (1.76) | 9.64 | |
| BMY | Bristol Myers Squibb | 1.56 | 7 per month | 1.25 | 0.12 | 2.52 | (2.09) | 14.39 | |
| RCMT | RCM Technologies | (0.23) | 9 per month | 2.18 | 0.05 | 3.43 | (3.34) | 12.78 | |
| KKR | KKR Co LP | 0.60 | 8 per month | 1.47 | 0.07 | 3.42 | (2.38) | 15.02 |
KEYCORP Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine KEYCORP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KEYCORP using various technical indicators. When you analyze KEYCORP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About KEYCORP Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of KEYCORP stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as KEYCORP MTN, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of KEYCORP based on analysis of KEYCORP hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to KEYCORP's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to KEYCORP's related companies.
Story Coverage note for KEYCORP
The number of cover stories for KEYCORP depends on current market conditions and KEYCORP's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that KEYCORP is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about KEYCORP's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in KEYCORP Bond
KEYCORP financial ratios help investors to determine whether KEYCORP Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KEYCORP with respect to the benefits of owning KEYCORP security.