KEYBANK NATL ASSN Price Prediction
| 49327M2K9 | 97.22 0.00 0.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
Using KEYBANK hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KEYBANK NATL ASSN from the perspective of KEYBANK response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in KEYBANK to buy its bond at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying KEYBANK because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell bonds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
KEYBANK after-hype prediction price | $ 97.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as bond price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
KEYBANK |
KEYBANK After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of KEYBANK at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in KEYBANK or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Bond prices, such as prices of KEYBANK, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
KEYBANK Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting KEYBANK's bond value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on KEYBANK's historical news coverage. KEYBANK's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 96.28 and 99.26, respectively. We have considered KEYBANK's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
KEYBANK is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of KEYBANK NATL ASSN is based on 3 months time horizon.
KEYBANK Bond Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Corporate Bond such as KEYBANK is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading KEYBANK backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Bond price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with KEYBANK, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 1.49 | 0.55 | 0.12 | 29 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 29 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
97.22 | 97.77 | 0.57 |
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KEYBANK Hype Timeline
KEYBANK NATL ASSN is at this time traded for 97.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.55, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.12. KEYBANK is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 97.77 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 89.76%. The price jump on the next news is estimated to be 0.57%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.33%. The volatility of related hype on KEYBANK is about 400.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 97.10. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 29 days. Check out KEYBANK Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.KEYBANK Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to KEYBANK's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict KEYBANK's future price movements. Getting to know how KEYBANK's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how KEYBANK may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 00108WAF7 | AEP TEX INC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.90 | 0.04 | 5.71 | (2.57) | 13.40 | |
| 90331HPL1 | US BANK NATIONAL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.39 | (1.70) | 7.15 | |
| NTRA | Natera Inc | (5.61) | 10 per month | 2.44 | 0.11 | 3.57 | (3.67) | 26.87 | |
| M | Macys Inc | (0.03) | 6 per month | 1.79 | 0.04 | 4.01 | (2.75) | 13.44 | |
| 784730AB9 | US784730AB94 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.84 | 0.08 | 1.32 | (1.34) | 42.53 | |
| CIADY | China Mengniu Dairy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.23 | 0.10 | 10.52 | (6.20) | 33.77 | |
| LIEN | Chicago Atlantic BDC, | (0.01) | 4 per month | 1.01 | 0.07 | 3.29 | (1.76) | 9.64 | |
| BMY | Bristol Myers Squibb | 1.56 | 7 per month | 1.25 | 0.12 | 2.52 | (2.09) | 14.39 | |
| RCMT | RCM Technologies | (0.23) | 9 per month | 2.18 | 0.05 | 3.43 | (3.34) | 12.78 | |
| KKR | KKR Co LP | 0.60 | 8 per month | 1.47 | 0.07 | 3.42 | (2.38) | 15.02 |
KEYBANK Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine KEYBANK price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KEYBANK using various technical indicators. When you analyze KEYBANK charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About KEYBANK Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of KEYBANK stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as KEYBANK NATL ASSN, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of KEYBANK based on analysis of KEYBANK hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to KEYBANK's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to KEYBANK's related companies.
Story Coverage note for KEYBANK
The number of cover stories for KEYBANK depends on current market conditions and KEYBANK's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that KEYBANK is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about KEYBANK's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in KEYBANK Bond
KEYBANK financial ratios help investors to determine whether KEYBANK Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KEYBANK with respect to the benefits of owning KEYBANK security.