Yatsen Holding Stock Price Prediction
| YSG Stock | USD 4.69 0.11 2.40% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
67
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (1.75) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.8836 | Wall Street Target Price 4.0575 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
Using Yatsen Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Yatsen Holding from the perspective of Yatsen Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Yatsen Holding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Yatsen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Yatsen Holding after-hype prediction price | USD 4.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Yatsen |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Yatsen Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Yatsen Holding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Yatsen Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Yatsen Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Yatsen Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Yatsen Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Yatsen Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Yatsen Holding's historical news coverage. Yatsen Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.65 and 7.83, respectively. We have considered Yatsen Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Yatsen Holding is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Yatsen Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Yatsen Holding Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Yatsen Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Yatsen Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Yatsen Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.52 | 3.09 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.69 | 4.74 | 1.07 |
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Yatsen Holding Hype Timeline
On the 25th of December Yatsen Holding is traded for 4.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Yatsen is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.74 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 1.07%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.52%. The volatility of related hype on Yatsen Holding is about 38625.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.69. The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.41 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (750.23 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.52 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Yatsen Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Yatsen Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Yatsen Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Yatsen Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Yatsen Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Yatsen Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| YQ | 17 Education Technology | (0.04) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.17 | (6.94) | 32.10 | |
| BEKE | Ke Holdings | 0.25 | 8 per month | 3.61 | 0.09 | 9.58 | (6.10) | 31.65 | |
| MNSO | Miniso Group Holding | (0.19) | 8 per month | 4.51 | 0.13 | 10.21 | (7.35) | 19.59 | |
| DADA | Dada Nexus | (0.09) | 6 per month | 5.00 | 0.05 | 12.63 | (8.42) | 34.11 | |
| RLX | RLX Technology | 0.03 | 9 per month | 3.14 | 0.08 | 6.25 | (5.52) | 18.88 |
Yatsen Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Yatsen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Yatsen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Yatsen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Yatsen Holding Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Yatsen Holding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Yatsen Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Yatsen Holding based on analysis of Yatsen Holding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Yatsen Holding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Yatsen Holding's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 22.24 | 20.33 | 21.55 | 29.98 | PTB Ratio | 1.52 | 1.19 | 0.71 | 0.67 |
Story Coverage note for Yatsen Holding
The number of cover stories for Yatsen Holding depends on current market conditions and Yatsen Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Yatsen Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Yatsen Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Yatsen Holding Short Properties
Yatsen Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Yatsen Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Yatsen Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Yatsen Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yatsen Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 109.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 B |
Complementary Tools for Yatsen Stock analysis
When running Yatsen Holding's price analysis, check to measure Yatsen Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Yatsen Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Yatsen Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Yatsen Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Yatsen Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Yatsen Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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